JAKARTA - The high electability of Kaesang Pangarep in the Central Java gubernatorial candidate exchange survey opens up opportunities for President Joko Widodo's son to run.
In the survey of Indonesian Political Indicators, Kaesang occupies the highest electability in the simulation of a survey of 20 candidate names with 17.7 percent electability.
Meanwhile, Central Java (Central Java) is still a "bullet cage". PDIP still dominates the highest electability of political parties in the province, which is 35.5 percent.
The founder of the Indicator, Burhanuddin Muhtadi, said that this condition opens up opportunities for repeated competition between PDIP and Jokowi in the Central Java gubernatorial election, such as during the 2024 presidential election.
Given, a number of PDIP cadres are also included in the Central Java cagub exchange, namely Bambang Wuryanto (Bambang Pacul) and Hendrar Prihadi (Hendi).
"It will be interesting if, for example, Kaesang advances, mas Bambang Pacul advances, including hendi, this is the second open volume battle between Jokowi vs PDIP's families," said Burhanuddin after presenting the survey virtually, Sunday, July 7.
If Kaesang wants to run for the gubernatorial election, according to Burhanuddin, Central Java will become a more realistic province for a winning opportunity for him, than DKI Jakarta.
Central Java is also considered to be able to increase PSI's electability, the party that Kaesang leads, to qualify for parliament in the 2029 Legislative Election.
"This could also be an excuse for Kaesang to advance in Central Java. For 2029 consideration, because Central Java is the third most populous province," explained Burhanuddin.
"There may be an intention that Kaesang prefers to be in Jakarta, but because the chances of winning are more open in Central Java, and on behalf of raising PSI, Kaesang could decide to run in Central Java," he added.
In the Indicator survey, Kaesang has the highest electability in the simulation of a survey of 20 candidate names with 17.7 percent electability.
The second highest electability was occupied by the Central Java Police Chief Ahmad Luthfi at 15.6 percent. The founder of Indicator Burhanuddin Muhtadi said Ahmad Luthfi was a tough competitor to Kaesang because the percentage of electability was still within the margin of error range.
The third position was filled by former Deputy Governor of Central Java Taj Yasin Maimoen with 12.8 percent electability. After that, PDIP politician Bambang Wuryanto or Bambang Pacul with 6 percent electability.
Then, there is the name Kendal Regent Dico Ganinduto with 5.6 percent electability, Raffi Ahmad 4.4 percent, Achmad Husein 3.4 percent, M. Yusuf Chudiori 3.3 percent, Sudaryono 3.2 percent, and several other names with electability below 3 percent.
For information, this survey was conducted in the period 10-17 June 2024 with a total sample of 800 respondents from all regencies/cities in Central Java.
The response was obtained through a multistage random sampling technique with a margin of error of ± 3.5 percent and a confidence level of 95 percent.
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