SMRC: Jokowi's Effect Is Not Significant For PSI

Screenshot - Research Director Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) Deni Irvani/screenshot

JAKARTA - Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) said the effect caused by voters who were satisfied with President Joko Widodo's performance did not have a significant effect on boosting the electability of the Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI).

"At least I think until the time the election was held, Jokowi did not have a very significant role to play in boosting PSI's electability, although they may have made various efforts," said SMRC Research Director Deni Irvani when presenting the findings of the quick count and exit PollsMRC reported by ANTARA, Wednesday, February 21.

Based on the results of the explicit PollsMRC, said Deni, there were 80 percent of voters who were satisfied with President Jokowi's performance. This figure consists of 31 percent who are very satisfied and 49 percent are quite satisfied.

"15 percent (of the voters) are not satisfied, not satisfied at all 3 percent, and there are 2 percent who don't know," he continued.

Of the 80 percent of voters who stated that they were satisfied with President Jokowi's performance, the majority preferred the PDI-P in the 2024 election, reaching 19 percent. Followed by the Golkar Party and Gerindra which were both 15 percent.

Then, there is the PKB (National Awakening Party) 10 percent. We will see that NasDem is the same as Democrats with 8 percent, then PAN (National Mandate Party) 7 percent, PPP (Development Party) 4 percent, "said Deni.

Meanwhile, there are only 3 percent of the total voters who are satisfied with the performance of President Jokowi who chose PSI. According to SMRC, the data shows that PSI's efforts to identify its party with Jokowi have not succeeded in withdrawing Jokowi's mass base.

"PSI may be referred to as President Jokowi's party, campaigned as Jokowi's party, even led by Jokowi's son; we see that identification with Jokowi has not succeeded if it turns out that only 3 percent of voters are satisfied with Jokowi's performance which can be withdrawn by PSI," said Deni.

In fact, efforts to attract Jokowi's mass were not only carried out by PSI. SMRC noted that parties in the Advanced Indonesia Coalition, supporters of Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, also did the same thing.

"We see that other parties are also trying to get the effect of the positive image of the Jokowi government. Gerindra, for example, sees its political elite positioning itself as a very pro Jokowi party. The Golkar Party is also like that, then PAN, "added Deni.

The population of this SMRC quick count is the entire legitimate vote spread across polling stations (TPS) nationwide (820,161 polling stations). The sample was selected using the Random Sampling Systematic Cluster method from that population.

The explicit population of polls is all voters who come to polling stations in the general election on February 14, 2024. The sample was selected using the Strateified Systematic Two-stage Random Sampling method.

The selected respondents were interviewed face-to-face with a total of 3,715 respondents interviewed (response rate 92.9 percent). The margin of error exit poll is estimated at around 2.8 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.