JAKARTA - The Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) released the results of a survey of presidential candidates in the 2024 presidential election. As a result, some of Jokowi's voters moved to Ganjar Pranowo.
If Jokowi's name is issued because he is no longer able to participate in the 2024 presidential election, the result will be Prabowo Subianto in the top rank with 22.5 percent of voters. Meanwhile, surprisingly, the name Ganjar overtook second place at 10.6 percent and Anies at 10.2 percent.
Political observer Heri Budianto explained that there were two reasons why Jokowi's voters turned to Ganjar. First, there is an ideological voter factor, meaning that Jokowi's voters are mostly nationalists.
"Seen from the perspective that the party's supporters are PDIP, when Jokowi's voters turn to Ganjar there is an ideological influence there. Voters who are based on nationalist ideology consistently choose Jokowi to Ganjar because of these two factors. Namely the party factor, in this case, the PDIP", said Heri to VOI, Tuesday, February 23.
Second, he continued, there was a message to the PDIP sent by Jokowi's voters. The hope is that PDIP can carry the Central Java Governor in the 2024 Presidential Election.
"This means that Jokowi's voters, from the survey results, see the most fitting is Ganjar. There is a 'message' sent to PDIP in that case (voting for Ganjar.red)", he explained.
When it is viewed from the survey in circulation, said Heri, the highest place is Ganjar from the existing figure exchanges as a replacement for Jokowi.
"Because Jokowi's voters are dominant. So the voter portrait hopes that Ganjar is indeed 'The Next President" in Jokowi's voter reading", said Heri.
However, Heri said, there were obstacles that prevented Ganjar from becoming 'The Next Jokowi'. Namely, the willingness of the Chairperson of the PDIP, Megawati Soekarnoputri, to give Ganjar a ticket to the 2024 presidential election.
"Some questions, in my opinion, the PDIP can answer, in this case, Ibu Mega, for example, whether PDIP wants to carry Ganjar? If you want, are you willing to give tickets to people or cadres outside Soekarno's race?
"In 2014 and 2019, it was Jokowi. If you look at the trend, then for the third time the election will give tickets to other people, in this case, the cadre, Ganjar, who is not from Soekarno's family, is she willing to give the ticket?", he added.
So according to Heri, it was not easy for Ganjar with the results of the survey, which PDIP would automatically nominate. "This means that to fulfill the wishes of Jokowi's voters, the obstacles are still great. Especially the internal PDIP", said Heri.
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