Bags Of Data, TPN Ganjar-Mahfud Predicts Two Rounds Of The 2024 Presidential Election

Deputy for Politics 5.0 TPN, Andi Widjajanto (center) and TPN spokesman Eko Kuntadi in the presidential election strategy conference Ganjar-Mahfud in Jakarta, Wednesday 27 December. (ANTARA-Devi N)

JAKARTA - The National Winning Team (TPN) Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD predicts that the 2024 presidential election will take two rounds based on the data they have.

Deputy for Politics 5.0 TPN, Andi Widjajanto explained the data managed by his deputy from various surveys, to make analysis predictions until February 14, 2024.

There are three methods used, starting from conventional survey methods, group discussions (FGD) forums in several tens of cities, and combined analytic media.

He said the candidate pair Ganjar-Mahfud was in a position that was significantly quite good when using comparisons from seven days ago, and daily data 1x24 hours.

However, if nothing happens suddenly, and move the percentage of support significantly, the votes of candidate pairs number 01.02, and 03 will be stable until February 14, 2024, namely voting day.

"And indeed, if we use objective data today, it seems that we have to start preparing a strategy for the second round, which we were optimistic that we could win one round," Andi said in Jakarta, Wednesday, December 27, which was confiscated by Antara.

However, Andi revealed that he needed something extraordinary, especially the blunder scandal case, especially from other couples, occurred in the next debate, if he wanted to win one round.

"If something significant doesn't happen, then the chance of the second round seems to be happening between the pair 02 and 03," he continued

In the data he disclosed, Ganjar-Mahfud's position significantly improved.

With this comparison of data, there was an increase from Ganjar's position of around 2 percent, from the combined triangulation method.

Seven days ago, Ganjar was in position at 35 percent, and in the last 24 hours it was at 37 percent.

Presidential Candidate 02 Prabowo Subianto seven days ago was at 42.6 percent, then today it is at 41.1 percent.

Then the presidential candidate 01 Anies Baswedan seven days ago was at 22 percent, then today it is stable at 21.7 percent.

Then from the analytic media, Ganjar has positive sentiment at 41.2 percent. Meanwhile Mahfud Md has positive sentiment at 38.4 percent.

Ganjar's negative sentiment is at 15 percent, and Mahfud is at 18.6 percent.

Then on Anies from December 24-27, his sentiment was relatively positive at 23.6 percent. Meanwhile, Muhaimin is still at negative sentiment at 30.6 percent, which is exactly the same as Prabowo.

Meanwhile, Gibran had negative sentiment at 28.3 percent, and positive sentiment at 17.9 percent.

"These data we observe continuously day by day there will be updates from our analysis, so that we can then direct Mas Ganjar with Prof Mahfud to play what issues, what kind of narratives, what communication, when to the region. If we look at the existing developments, the campaign strategy, the election seems to have moved on the right track for 03," he said.