BMKG Calls The Jayapura Earthquake Determination Including The Black Swan Phenomenon, What Does This MEAN?

JAYAPURA/ILLUSTRATION/PHOTO DOCUMENTATION/ANTARA

JAKARTA - Head of the Earthquake and Tsunami Center of the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) Daryono assessed the series of earthquakes in Jayapura, Papua which rocked strongly on February 9 and its follow-up was included in the Black Swan Earthquakes phenomenon.

Through his Twitter account, Daryono explained, the Jayapura earthquake was a rare earthquake phenomenon. In addition, the detailed source of the earthquake has not yet been mapped.

"Personally in my opinion, the Jayapura Earthquake phenomenon includes 'Black Swan Earthquakes': it has not been mapped with the detailed source, beyond the predictions of experts, it has an impact on damaging and worrying the public, rare earthquake events, rarely happened," wrote @DaryonoBMKG, quoted on Monday, February 13.

The earthquake phenomenon in Jayapura, said Daryono, has a type similar to the Ambon earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 in September 2019. At that time, there were 2,602 aftershocks in Ambon, with 292 earthquakes felt by residents.

"There are a lot of earthquake activity, it is destructive, a phenomenon that is rare, not predicted by experts, the source of the earthquake has not been mapped in detail," said Daryono.

However, Daryono believes that after the earthquake in Jayapura which caused anxiety and terror against residents will definitely end.

"The Jayapura earthquake will definitely be finished. It's a earthquake sequence, multi fault active, and triggered off fault seismicity. It happened in Ambon-Haruku at the end of 2019. The terror and a few months later it was finished because the stress accumulation was all relaxed. Then it was safe," he explained.

For information, the Jayapura earthquake with a magnitude of 5.4 shook on Thursday, February 9. The earthquake was felt strong for 2-3 seconds, making people panic and scatter out of their homes.

Prior to that, earthquakes in Jayapura began to occur on January 2. Aftershocks continue to occur today. The total earthquake occurred from January 2 to February 12 at 13.00 WIT as many as 1,181 earthquakes with 176 earthquakes felt by residents.