SMRC Survey: Electability The Majority Of The Party Declined From The 2019 Election Except For PDIP-Democrats

Illustration-(Photo: DOK ANTARA)

JAKARTA - The survey institute Saifil Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) released a poll related to the electability of political parties participating in the 2019 Election which is juxtaposed with conditions ahead of the current 2024 General Election. SMRC Research Director, Deni Irvani explained, voter support for the majority of parties participating in the 2019 Election tends to decrease when compared to December 2022 or 14 months ahead of the 2024 General Election. However, PDIP and the Democratic Party did not experience a decline in electability. The electability of the two parties tends to increase. "Compared to the results of the 2019 election, support for PDIP increased from 19.3 percent to 24.1 percent. Democratic electability also increased slightly from 7.8 percent to 8.9 percent, or relatively stable. Meanwhile, other parties in parliament tend to decline," Deni said in a virtual presentation of the survey, Sunday, December 18. The details of other parties whose electability tends to decline are the Gerindra Party from 12.6 in the 2019 election to 8.9 in December 2022, then Golkar from 12.3 percent to 9.4 percent. Then, PKB from 9.7 percent in the 2019 Election to 6.2 percent in December 2022, PKS from 8.2 percent to 6.1 percent, NasDem from 9.1 percent to 3.2 percent, PAN from 6.8 percent to 1.7 percent, PPP from 4.5 percent to 1.7 percent. Furthermore, the electability of non-parlementary parties is currently still very low. The details are 0.9 percent of the United Nations, 0.7 percent of Hanura, 0.6 percent of Garuda, 0.5 percent of PSI, 0.2 percent of workers. Then, PKN, Ummat, and other parties 0 percent. "However, each party still has the opportunity to increase support, because there are still around 20.9 percent of residents who have not made a choice," he said. For information, this survey was conducted face-to-face on December 3 - 11, 2022. The population of this survey is all Indonesian citizens who have the right to vote in general elections, namely those who are 17 years old or older, or have been married when the survey was conducted. From that population, 1220 respondents were chosen by random (stratified multistage random sampling). Respondents (respondents who can be interviewed validly) are 1029 or 84%. A total of 1029 respondents were analyzed. The survey margin of error with the sample size is estimated to be ± 3.1 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.