LKPI Survey Results, Airlangga Becomes Most Elected Candidate Defeating Prabowo Subianto

Airlangga Hartarto (Photo: Public Relations)

JAKARTA - The General Chair of the Golkar Party, Airlangga Hartarto, has become the presidential candidate with the most respondents chosen by the survey conducted by the Indonesian Elections Study Institute (LKPI). From a number of simulation questions given to 2,150 respondents, Airlangga always ranks at the top.

LKPI Executive Director Andri Gunawan said, from a simulation of the names of ministers and the chairman of the DPR who are predicted to run in the 2024 presidential election, the Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs Airlangga was chosen as much as 38.8 percent.

Airlangga outperformed Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto who was chosen by 29.2 percent of respondents, followed by DPR Speaker Puan Maharani 9.2 percent, Minister of Tourism and Creative Economy Sandiaga Uno 2.9 percent, and SOE Minister Erick Thohir with 2.1 percent.

Meanwhile, from the closed-ended question simulation, Airlangga Hartarto's name also appeared at the top of the presidential candidate chosen by respondents.

"A simulation of the names written in the questionnaire, it was found that Airlangga Hartarto was in first place with 18.4 percent of the electability, followed by Prabowo Subianto with 16.8 percent," said Andri in a statement, Tuesday (10/5/2022).

Andri added, the results of the survey about the candidate for the president's choice showed that the majority of respondents avoided figures that could potentially cause polarization in society if they were promoted.

The names considered by respondents to have the potential to cause polarization are Prabowo Subianto, DKI Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan, to Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo.

"This can be seen who chose the three figures if they add up as much as 29.9 percent, and the figures who are considered not to have the potential to create polarization are 55.8 percent," said Andri.

According to Andri, respondents had given up on the 2014 and 2019 presidential elections which caused polarization in society by carrying out identity politics. Meanwhile, for the electability of political parties, the LKPI survey only found seven parties that passed the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent. The Golkar Party ranks at the top with 17.8 percent.

In second place, PDIP with 16.4 percent, followed by Gerindra Party with 16.3 percent, the Democratic Party with 7.4 percent, and PKS with 5.2 percent. PKB and Nasdem are under PKS with 4.3 percent (PKB) and 4.2 percent (Nasdem).

It is known that the LKPI survey was conducted for 14 days from April 17 to 30, 2022. This survey uses a multistage sampling method with a margin of error of approximately 2.12 percent at a confidence level of 95 percent.

The survey was conducted through face-to-face in-depth interviews in 429 districts/cities from 34 provinces in Indonesia.