SMRC Survey: Anies Wins If He Only Competes With Prabowo

Prabowo Subianto (Photo: Instagram @prabowo)

JAKARTA - The Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) survey noted that DKI Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan would win if he only competed with Gerindra Chairman Prabowo Subianto as a presidential candidate.

Anies beat Prabowo among critical voters. Anies' superiority cannot be separated from the trend of stronger support for him from critical voters. SMRC's Director of Research, Deni Irvani, said Anies' superiority over Prabowo was seen in a closed-choice simulation of 2 names. "In a survey on February 8-10 2022, if only Anies Baswedan and Prabowo Subianto are competing, Anies has the support of 37.5 percent of critical voters, ahead of Prabowo who has 31.8 percent support. For those who don't know 30.7 percent, " said Deni when presenting the results of the SMRC survey entitled "Trend of National Critical Voters' Presidential Choices" which was released through the SMRC TV YouTube channel on February 28, 2022 in Jakarta, Monday, February 28. Deni said, in the last four months Anies and Prabowo have competed fiercely for critical voters if only the two of them competed. “However, support for Anies tends to strengthen. In the last survey, Anies was superior to Prabowo," said Deni. Furthermore, Deni explained that Anies was superior to Prabowo in the urban voter group, highly educated, and often follows news through newspapers, television, and the internet which are indicators of critical voters. critically can influence other voters. With Anies' superiority over Prabowo in the current critical voter group, Anies has a great chance to beat Prabowo if only these two names compete in the 2024 presidential election," concluded Deni. February 10, 2022. The target population for this survey is Indonesian citizens aged 17 years and over or married and have a telephone/cellphone. With a sample of 1,268 respondents selected randomly from the population by double sampling method and random digit dialing. Interviews with respondents were conducted by telephone by trained interviewers. The survey's margin of error is estimated at +/- 2.8 percent at the 95 percent confidence level, assuming simple random sampling. The previous telephone survey was conducted regularly every week for the last two years.