SMRC Survey: Ganjar Pranowo Outperforms Anies And Prabowo In Critical Voters

Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo (Photo: Antara)

JAKARTA - Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo outperformed other presidential candidates in the latest survey by Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC). Ganjar will excel in the critical electorate group if presidential elections are held at this time. SMRC Research Director, Deni Irvani, explained that the number of critical voters with indications of phone or cellphone owners was around 72 percent of the national voter population who generally came from urban groups, had higher education, and had an interest in political issues. They are generally not easily swayed or influenced, and on the contrary can influence other voters. According to Deni, in a survey on 8-10 February 2022, Ganjar was ahead of other presidential candidates in the critical voter group. Ganjar's excellence can be seen in various question simulations: spontaneous choice (top of mind), 29 names semi-open simulation, 15 names closed simulation, 3 names closed simulation, to 2 names closed simulation. 19.9 percent of critical voters. Next, Prabowo Subianto 10.4 percent, which is balanced with Anies Baswedan 9.8 percent," said Deni when presenting the results of the SMRC survey entitled "Tendency of Presidential Choice of National Critical Voters" which was released through the SMRC TV YouTube channel. on February 28, 2022 in Jakarta, Monday, February 28.

Meanwhile, other candidates received spontaneous support below 4 percent, and those who didn't know 45.7 percent. Then, in a semi-open simulation with 29 names, Ganjar remained in the top position with 26.8 percent support. Furthermore, Anies 13.9 percent, Prabowo 13.7 percent, Sandiaga Uno 5.8 percent, and Ridwan Kamil 5.1 percent. The other candidates are under 3 percent, and 24 percent don't know yet. February 10, 2022," said Deni. "Since April 2021, Ganjar has consistently been at the top, while Anies and Prabowo are competing for the second position after Ganjar," he continued. Meanwhile, in a closed simulation of 15 names, Ganjar again won with 27.5 percent support. Followed by Anies 14.8 percent, Prabowo 14.3 percent, Sandi 6.2 percent, Ridwan 5.9 percent. Other candidates are below 3 percent, and those who don't know are 21.8 percent. , followed by Anies 23.3 percent and Prabowo 21.9 percent. Those who don't know 20.1 percent," said Deni. Likewise, in the simulation of 2 names, Ganjar was ahead of Prabowo and Anies.

Deni also said that if only Ganjar vs Anies was competing, Ganjar received the support of 40.4 percent of critical voters, ahead of Anies who got 34.6 percent of the vote. And 25 percent admitted that they didn't know. If only Ganjar vs Prabowo was competing, Ganjar got 41.9 percent support from critical voters, ahead of Prabowo who got 34.7 percent support and 23.4 percent who didn't know. critical voters to presidential candidates have not experienced significant changes, Ganjar has strong capital for the upcoming 2024 presidential election," he said. SMRC conducted a series of national surveys by telephone and the last update was on 8-10 February 2022. The target population of this survey is residents Indonesian citizens aged 17 years and over or married and have a telephone/cellphone. With a sample of 1,268 respondents were randomly selected from the population by double sampling and random digit dialing. Interviews with respondents were conducted by telephone by trained interviewers. Margin of survey error is estimated at +/- 2.8 percent at the 95 percent confidence level, assuming simple random sampling g. The previous telephone survey was conducted regularly every week for the last two years.