INES Survey: Placing Golkar Chairman Airlangga Hartarto As A Presidential Candidate With The Highest Electoral Rate

Airlangga Hartarto (Photo: Instagram @airlanggahartarto_official)

JAKARTA - The public opinion poll survey to measure the level of electability of figures as the 8th strong presidential candidate and the electability of political parties in the 2024 election conducted by the Indonesia Network election Survey (INES) shows that political party figures (political parties) strongly dominate the election as president next.

INES Executive Director Tri Permadi said the poll was conducted on 2200 Indonesian citizens over the age of 17 using a survey method to proportionally selected respondents, distributed in 34 provinces and using the multistage random sampling method.

The survey was conducted face-to-face and by telephone, the results of this survey have a 95 percent confidence level and a margin of error of approximately 2.1 percent, the poll period is from November 25 to December 7, 2021.

Tri explained that the results of a poll survey of 2200 Indonesian citizens aged over 17 years showed that the abilities and experience of the desired figure as President of the Republic of Indonesia after President Jokowi were figures who were able to restore the economy and were able to prosper the community.

"This is reflected in the answers of 89.3 percent of respondents who wanted a president who could continue Jokowi's program and be able to restore the community's economy due to the impact of Covid-19, as many as 5.1 percent wanted a president who was firm and authoritative, and 5.6 percent did not give opinion," Tri told reporters on Sunday, December 12.

Meanwhile, the results of the election survey for political parties showed that 74.6 percent of the public knew about the presidential election requirements for the presidential candidate pairs proposed by political parties, while 20.7 percent did not know at all and 4.7 percent did not answer.

This shows that the majority of the public know and understand Article 222 of Law Number 7 of 2017 concerning General Elections.

Candidate pairs are proposed by political parties or coalitions of political parties participating in the general election who meet the requirements for obtaining seats of at least 20 percent (twenty percent) of the total seats in the DPR or obtaining 25 percent (twenty five percent) of the nationally valid votes in the previous election. he said.

By knowing and understanding the mechanism for the presidential election, 2200 respondents were also asked proportionally, with the question of which political party figures have the potential to run in the 2024 presidential election.

"The answers from 2,200 respondents as much as 74.6 percent stated that the General Chair of a political party has more opportunity and potential to be promoted as a presidential candidate, and as many as 20.3 percent stated that political party cadres and non-party political figures, while 5.1 percent did not answer, from the survey results. This shows that people think that the Ketum of Political Parties has a greater chance of being nominated as a presidential candidate,” said Tri.

Tri said that from the names of the General Chairpersons of Political Parties who have seats in the DPR, the 2,200 respondents also asked which Chairpersons of Political Parties were the most recognized by the 2,200 respondents.

1. Megawati Sukarnoputri is known by 99,1 percent of respondents
2. Prabowo Subianto 98,9 percent
3. Surya Paloh 90,7 percent
4. Airlangga Hartarto 83,8 percent
5. Muhaimin Iskandar 70,8 percent
6. Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 67,8 percent
7. Zulkifli Hasan 54,9 percent
8. Suharso Monoarfa 21,7 percent
9. Ahmad Syaikhu 10,2 percent

The simulation results of the 4 General Chairpersons of Political Parties (Golkar, Gerindra, PKB, and Democrats) with non-Chairman of Political Parties who are included in the presidential candidate exchange, were asked openly with the question which of these figures would be elected if the presidential election was held today.

As a result, Airlangga Hartarto excelled as the highest public choice with an electability rate of 14.8 percent, Prabowo Subianto 13.7 percent, Ganjar Pranowo 13.1 percent, Moeldoko 6.2 percent, Gatot Nurmantyo 6.1 percent, Puan Maharani 5.2 percent. , Anies Baswedan 3.7 percent, Susi Pudjiastuti 3.6 percent, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 3.1 percent, Gibran Rakabuming 2.9 percent, La Nyalla Mataliti 2.7 percent, Muhaimin Iskandar 2.3 percent, Erick Thohir 2.1 percent, Ridwan Kamil 1.8 percent, Sandiaga Uno 1.6 percent and 17.1 percent who did not vote

Meanwhile, the results of closed method questions using questionnaires to 2,200 respondents with the names of figures presented, both from the cluster general chairpersons of political parties and non-political parties, if the presidential election were to be held today?

"Placing the chairman of Golkar, Airlangga Hartarto, as a presidential candidate with the highest electability rate of 20.8 percent, followed by Prabowo Subianto 18.1 percent, Ganjar Pranowo 10.7 percent, Muldoko 6.3 percent, Gatot Nurmantyo 5.4 percent, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 4.3 percent, Puan Maharani 4.2 percent, Susi Pudjiastuti 3.6 percent, Gibran Rakabuming 3.3 percent, Anies Baswedan 3.2 percent, Muhaimin Iskandar 1.8 percent, Erick Thohir 1.6 percent, La Nyalla Mataliti 1.3 percent, Sandiaga Uno 1.1 percent, Ridwan Kamil 1.1 percent and 13.2 percent who did not vote," concluded Tri Permadi.

"Based on the results of a poll of 2,200 respondents if the legislative elections were held today, PDI-P would still be the highest choice with an electability rate of 16.1 percent, Golkar 15.9 percent, Gerindra 15.6 percent, PKB 6.2 percent, the Democratic Party 6, 1 percent, Nasdem 5.8 percent, PKS 4.4 percent, PAN 3.3 percent, PPP 2.2 percent and PRIMA 2.1 percent, Perindo 1.8 percent, Garuda Party 1.8 percent, PSI 1.7 percent, Hanura 1.4 percent, Gelora 1.3 percent, Berkarya 1.1 percent, the People's Party 0.9 percent, PKPI 0.7 percent and 11.6 percent who did not vote," he explained.