JAKARTA - Bank Indonesia (BI) said that retail sales performance is predicted to increase in May 2025, this is reflected in the May 2025 Real Sales Index (IPR) which is predicted to grow by 2.6 percent on an annual basis or year on year (yoy), an increase compared to the previous month, reaching the level of 234.0.
Executive Director of the BI Communication Department, Ramdan Denny Prakoso, said that the increase in sales performance was driven by the Cultural and Recreational Goods Group, Food, Drinks, and Tobacco, and the Sandang Subgroup.
"monthly, retail sales in May 2025 are predicted to record a contraction of 0.6 percent (mtm), not as deep as the contraction in the previous month," he said in his statement, Friday, June 13.
Meanwhile, several groups that experienced increased sales were the Other Household Equipment Group and Cultural and Recreational Goods, in line with the increase in demand for the holiday period in the context of the Vesak National Religious Holiday (HBKN) and the Increase in Jesus Christ.
Denny said that in April 2025, IPR was recorded at 235.5, relatively stable compared to the IPR for the same period the previous year of 236.3, mainly supported by the continued growth of the Parts of Cadang and Accessori, Motor Vehicle Fuel, and Cultural and Recreational Goods.
Furthermore, monthly, retail sales in April 2025 contracted by 5.1 percent (mtm), influenced by a decrease in the majority of goods groups in line with the normalization of public demand after the period of Ramadan and HBKN Eid al-Fitr.
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Denny said that the decrease in retail sales was influenced by the normalization of public demand in line with the end of the Ramadan and HBKN Eid al-Fitr periods.
Denny said that in terms of price, inflationary pressures for the next three and six months, namely in July and October 2025, are predicted to decline.
According to him, this is reflected in the General Price Expectation Index (IEH) in July and October 2025, which were recorded at 141.9 and 144.5, respectively, lower than the previous period which was recorded at 146.4 and 153.1, respectively.
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