Swing States Called The Determinants Of The US Election, Is Trump Or Biden The Superior?

JAKARTA - Joe Biden outperformed Donald Trump in the national poll of the United States presidential election. But that doesn't guarantee victory. There are still many factors, one of which is seeing whose voice is the most superior in an area that has not made a steady choice or is also called swing states.

In the previous election, Hillary Clinton also had the same advantage over Trump in the 2016 election. However, she ultimately lost at the electoral college.

Because the presidential voting system gives each state a certain number of electors' votes, which are awarded to the state winner regardless of the high winning margin. Therefore, several states that are still floating in determining choices or swing states are one of the keys to determining who will be elected as the next US president.

The swing voters' areas have certainly been heavily targeted by campaigners from both Biden and Trump's camp. So who is the most superior in reaping the voice of support from this swing state area?

One of the polls to predict who will excel in the swing states is The Guardian. This media takes an average of 14 days of polls in eight regions that have swing states status.

The eight areas that become swing states are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Arizona, Wisconsin, Iowa.

Of the eight regions, six swing states are dominated by Biden voters. The six regions include Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Arizona, Wisconsin. Meanwhile, only two regions dominate Trump's voters, namely Iowa and Ohio.

A Flourish chart

In addition, according to a poll recorded by RealClearPolitics (RCP) on November 2, the results were not much different. RCP data noted that from the same eight regions, three were dominated by Trump voters, namely Iowa, Ohio and North Carolina.

A Flourish chart

The difference between the two data is not much different. Of the eight swing states, The Guardian's data shows Trump is superior in two regions. Meanwhile, Trump's RCP data won narrowly in three regions.

Biden not only excels in the swing-state polls. He also excels nationally. According to The Guardian's data, he was ahead by 50.7 percent, while Trump had 44 percent.

Although national polls are a poor indicator for predicting who will win the US election. However, the results of strong nationwide polls could show how the race will develop.

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