Crypto Volatility Increases Due To US-Chinese Trade War, Upbit Indonesia: Rebound Still Possible

JAKARTA - The trade tension between the United States (US) and China is heating up again. Since October 14, 2025, the US has officially imposed special costs on ships from China anchored in American ports. In response, Beijing will also implement a similar policy against ships with flags or US ownership.

This rate-reply step marks a new chapter in the economic rivalry between the two superpowers. Just a few days after President Donald Trump raised import rates against China by up to 100 percent, Beijing retaliated with restrictions on exports of rare minerals vital for the global technology industry.

The reheated trade war not only rocked the manufacturing and logistics sectors, but also affected global financial markets, including digital assets and the crypto industry. In the midst of this dynamics, crypto industry players are also monitoring the possible impacts on digital assets and the behavior of global investors.

According to Resna Raniadi, COO Upbit Indonesia, the trade conflict between the two world economic giants affects volatility in the crypto market.

The recent hot US trade war Yogyakarta has indeed affected the global financial market, and crypto is not immune. The liquidity crisis, the effect of negative sentiment, and liquidation of the leverage position could trigger a sharp price decline in the short term," said Resna, Tuesday, October 21.

However, he stressed that the possible decline did not mean the end of crypto assets.

The rebound is very likely if tensions ease or positive news emerges. Like traditional markets, crypto is also sensitive to global sentiment. However, in a situation like this, investors need to be disciplined in managing risks," he added.

In the short term, price dynamics will still be greatly influenced by global macroeconomic news. Upbit Indonesia considers that the price movement of crypto assets this week will still be in a volatile phase. Selling pressures are likely to continue if tensions between the US and China continue to increase, especially if there are further policies such as rising new rates or additional retaliation from both parties.

On the other hand, opportunities for rebound remain wide open if positive signals arise from both countries, such as de-escalation statements, temporary trade ceasefires, or monetary policy interventions that are able to calm the market.

Overall, market volatility is expected to remain high with potential pressure at the start of the week and recovery opportunities at the end of the week. This condition shows that the crypto market is still heavily influenced by global geopolitical dynamics, where small changes in sentiment can trigger a quick reaction from market participants.

Responding to this condition, Upbit Indonesia recommends four practical steps for investors to remain calm and adaptive in the midst of a volatile market:

1. Limit Risks and Avoid Overleverage

Avoid overuse of leverage during high volatility. Take advantage of the stop loss feature and avoid using emergency funds for trading.

2. Portfolio diversification

Keep some assets in fiat or stablecoin so that they are ready to be used when rebound opportunities appear. Choose crypto assets with strong fundamentals and active communities, such as BTC, ETH, or high-capacity DeFi projects.

3. Don't panic selling

Market corrections are not a reason to go out completely. Fluctuations are a natural part of the market cycle, and recovery opportunities are always there.

4. Focus on long-term vision

Investors who believe in the future of blockchain adoption will see the current turmoil as a consolidated phase before the next wave of growth.

As one of the licensed and regulated crypto asset exchanges in Indonesia, Upbit Indonesia continues to provide innovative, secure, and educational services. With the right strategy and support from trusted platforms, investors can take advantage of crypto market opportunities at any time to support their financial goals. Through commitment to digital security and literacy, Upbit Indonesia is also trying to become a trusted partner for crypto investors in the country.