The Bursah Zarnubi-Widia Ningsih Unggul In The 2024 Pilkada Lahat Survey

JAKARTA - The Indonesian Survey Panel (PSI) released the results of a survey regarding the political preferences of the people of Lahat Regency ahead of the 2024 Pilkada. As a result, the candidate pairs for Regent and Deputy Regent of Lahat, Bursah Zarnubi and Widia Ningsih, outperformed the other two candidate pairs.

PSI Executive Director Mahendra Zaini explained that based on the results of the survey in open questions, Bursah Zarnubi and Widia Ningsih received support of 30.7 percent. Followed by second place, the pair Yulius Maulana and Budiarto Marsul received 25.1 percent support.

"Meanwhile, the Lidyawati and Haryanto pair received support of 17.6 percent, and 26.6 percent of respondents did not provide a choice," Zaini said in his statement, Tuesday, October 8.

Then in a closed survey simulation using a ballot card, the electability rate of the Bursah Zarnubi and Widia Ningsih pair was recorded at 43.2 percent. Followed by the pair Yulius Maulana and Budiarto Marsul getting 26.4 percent.

"Meanwhile, the Lidyawati and Haryanto pair got 18.7 percent, then 11.7 percent of respondents chose not to vote," he added.

According to Zaini, the low electability of the pair Yulius Maulana and Budiarto Marsul was influenced by Yulius Maulana's performance rating while serving as Deputy Regent of Empat Lawang.

Zaini said that the condition of the budget deficit in the Empat Lawang Regency Government had a negative impact on the regional economy. Such as hampered development, declining investor confidence, disruption of public services, increasing debt burdens, and the occurrence of inflation.

"On the other hand, the low level of electability of Lidyawati and Haryanto couples is caused by public assessment of dynastic politics," said Zaini.

This, continued Zaini, was influenced by the factor of Lidyawati's husband, Cik Ujang, who is a former Regent of Lahat and is now running for Cawagub with Herman Deru. The community considers that the sustainability of leadership is not automatic from Cik Ujang to his wife, but is part of dynastic politics that is thirsty for power.

"Many think that Lidyawati's leadership is not the same as her husband, and if you want a leadership relay, Haryanto, who currently serves as Deputy Regent, is more worthy to continue," said Zaini.

Meanwhile, Zaini explained, the high level of electability of the Bursah Zarnubi and Widia Ningsih pairs was influenced by several factors.

First, Bursah Zarnubi once ran for Regent of Lahat, so that people's memories of him are quite strong.

This has an impact on the level of popularity of the Bursah and Widia pairs which reached 81.6 percent. In addition, Widia Ningsih's support, who is the youngest member of the Lahat DPRD and a young figure from Generation Z, contributed positively.

"As a result, said Zaini, the level of public preference for the Zarnubi and Widia Ningsih Bursah pairs reached 78.7 percent," he said.

Meanwhile, the pair Yulius Maulana and Budiarto have a popularity rate of 60.4 percent and a liking rate of 51.8 percent.

"And the Lidyawati and Haryanto pairs, on the other hand, recorded a popularity rate of 82.4 percent, but the community's liking rate only reached 41.3 percent," said Zaini.

Regarding the results of a survey on the determination of options for the candidate pair for the Head of Lahat Regency ahead of the Pilkada, Zaini said, the survey found an unchanged level of voters' safety reached 80.9 percent. Meanwhile, 19.1 percent of respondents stated that their choice may still change.

"This shows that the Bursah Zarnubi and Widia Ningsih have the potential to win the 2024 Lahat Regency Pilkada," he concluded.

The Indonesian Survey Panel (PSI) conducted a survey in the period September 24 - October 4, 2024, through face-to-face interviews involving Indonesian citizens in Lahat Regency, South Sumatra in 24 sub-distributed districts proportionally.

The method used in sampling is multistage random sampling. In this survey, the number of respondents involved was 1,150 people, with a margin of error of > 2.88 percent at a 95 percent confidence level