The Electability Of Danny Pomanto Is 41.9 Percent In SMRC, Observer Is Precisely The Desire Value Of The New Mayor Of Makassar

MAKASSAR - Political observer from the Muhammadiyah University of Makassar, Samsir Rahim, believes that the battle map in the Makassar Pilkada is still very dynamic. According to him, there is the enthusiasm of the majority of Makassar City residents who want a new mayor as recorded from a number of survey results, including Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting (SMRC).

According to Samsir, despite the superiority of the candidate pair Danny Pomanto-Fatmawati (Adama), their electability is not safe because they are always below 50 percent. This for Samsir indicates that more Makassar City residents want to be led by a new figure.

"The results of a number of surveys, including the last one (SMRC) show that the electability of the DP as a candidate who can be said to have the status of an incumbent is in danger. The electability rate is below 50%, yes it is a danger alarm, which means that the majority of Makassar City residents want a new mayor, the public wants it. led by a new figure, "said Samsir in a written statement, Thursday, October 22

The SMRC survey showed the Danny-Fatma pair had the highest electability rate of 41.9 percent. Followed by Munafri Arifuddin-Abdul Rahman Bando (Appi-Rahman) with 17.8 percent electability; Syamsu Rizal-Fadli Ananda (Dilan) with 16.6 percent electability.

Meanwhile, the distended position was occupied by Irman Yasin Limpo-Andi Zunnun (Imun) with an electability of 6.8 percent. Respondents who did not answer or did not know, as much as 16.9 percent.

"The latest survey (SMRC) provides a clear picture that the fight in the 2020 Makassar Pilwalkot is still very dynamic and at the same time describes the very fragile position of the DP as an incumbent. Electability is very low, plus 49 percent of residents have not made a choice," he said.

Samsir said that Danny Pomanto had to do extra work if he wanted to return to lead Makassar City for the second term. The results of the survey 41, percent are far from safe. A strong incumbent must have an electability capital of more than 60 percent. If the electability level is below that number, it means that it can be challenged and if the electability is below 50 percent, it indicates that the position of the incumbent is easily defeated.

"A new incumbent is said to be strong if his electability is above 6 percent. The count is that if the popularity is above 80 percent, then her electability is at least 60 percent. Below that means weak incumbents can be fought, if it's below 50 percent that's even more serious, it shows the incumbent is complete and easy to beat, "he said.

However, Samsir said that the challenger also needed an accurate strategy if he wanted to overthrow the incumbent. Moreover, the remaining time leading to the battle was getting narrower, less than two months.

"The position of the incumbent is now fragile and the public tends to want a new mayor. That's an opportunity for the challenger. If you want to win, you have to be smart in tactics and strategy," he said.