IndoStrategi Survey: Prabowo's Electability Is Still Consistent Number One

JAKARTA - Director of IndoStrategi Research and Consulting, Arif Nurul Imam, conveyed that based on survey data, Prabowo Subianto was still the top of the mind in the minds of the public.

The reason is, the Minister of Defense and the Head of Gerindra are still consistently number one in the electability category.

"Untuk elektabilitas bila Pilpres dilaksanakan hari ini masih tak membihatkan di posisi puncak di tempati Prabowo dengan perolehan persentase33,5 persen," kata Arif dalam rilis survei, Rabu, 17 Mei.

For number two, the position is still consistently filled by the Governor of Central Java, PDI-P politician, namely Ganjar Pranowo. While number three remains filled by former DKI Jakarta Governor Anies Rasyid Baswedan.

"Followed by Ganjar in second place and Anies in the top three," he said.

Through a survey, it is also measured that if a simulation of the 2024 presidential election is carried out, three presidential candidates will fight, namely Prabowo, Ganjar and Anies. As a result, Prabowo is still a potential presidential candidate who will be elected by the public.

"In the simulation of 3 presidential candidates who competed with Prabowo, Ganjar and Anies, the public consistently still trusted Prabowo as President for the next period. There were 38.7 percent of the public who voted for him. Followed by Ganjar with 20.2 percent and Anies with 18.4 percent. While there is 22.7 percent who still have not made a choice," he explained.

From the survey, Arif said there were several reasons why the public still chose Pranowo as the next President after Joko Widodo's leadership.

First, said Arif, in public perception, Prabowo is a unifying figure of the nation. It can be seen from Prabowo's joining in the Jokowi government, then Prabowo's engagement towards his political opponents in the past proves that Prabowo is more concerned with national unity than group interests.

"This at the same time shows that Prabowo is big-hearted, not happy and baperan," he said.

Then for the second reason, Arif said that Prabowo was a friendly person. Seen in several very relaxed moments Prabowo is a new thing for the retired TNI.

Prabowo's three are still perceived as brave figures, then firm and responsible where this is indeed the main character that is widely known by the wider public.

Prabowo Subianto was also chosen because of populistness, this character cannot be separated from Prabowo's current hospitality.

"The temperamental impression is no longer visible. This finding gives rise to a new character from Prabowo," he said.

Likewise, for reasons of his performance as a loyal minister and other reasons obtained from the question variables. According to Arif, it is very natural that Prabowo's previous voters were still loyal to Prabowo and Jokowi's loyal voters also directed their choices to Prabowo.

"Of course, in addition to these reasons, Jokowi's endorsement and his performance as Minister also significantly increased Prabowo's electability," continued Arif.

Even so, Arif said the survey data obtained from his institution's research was still very dynamic if it was used to measure the 2024 presidential election. The chances of going up or down are still very wide open, especially when voting is still quite long.

"The 2024 election is still less than 9 months away. The situation ahead of the big event is still very dynamic. Anything can still happen. Therefore, the survey results are also a portrait when the survey is conducted," he concluded.

The IndoStrategi survey was conducted in the period 1-10 May 2023 involving 1,230 respondents throughout Indonesia. The data released by Arif has a margin of error (MoE) of 2.83% with a confidence level of 95 percent.