JAKARTA - The Indonesian Political Indicators survey institute released a simulation survey of three presidential candidates (candidates) for the 2024 General Election. As a result, Prabowo Subianto's electability was superior to Ganjar Pranowo and Anies Baswedan.
The three-name presidential candidate Indicator Survey was conducted on May 26-30, 2023, in two simulation stages.
In the first simulation, three names of Prabowo Subianto, Ganjar Pranowo and Airlangga Hartarto were presented. He found Prabowo's electability 47.6 percent, Ganjar 36.1 percent and Airlangga far below 3.5 percent.
While the second simulation, the name Airlangga was replaced by Anies Baswedan. As a result, Prabowo's name remained in first place with an electability of 38.0 percent, followed by Ganjar 34.2 percent, and in the distended order of Anies 18.9 percent.
The simulation survey of 3 names of Indicators involved 1,230 respondents selected through the process of generating telephone numbers randomly, validating, and screening.
The selection of samples is done through the random digit dialing (RDD) method. RDD is a technique of randomly selecting samples through the process of generating telephone numbers.
Meanwhile, the population of this survey is an Indonesian citizen aged 17 years and over or married who owns a telephone, about 83 percent of the total national population. When the interviewer survey was trained did so by phone call.
While the survey margin of error is estimated to be 2.9 percent at a 95 percent confidence level, the assumption is simple random sampling.
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