Distribution Of Participators And Presidential Candidates Against Potential Candidates For Poltracking Survey Version

General Election Commission (ILLUSTRATION OF DOK VOI)

JAKARTA - Poltracking Indonesia has identified the distribution of political party voters towards potential vice presidential candidates (cawapres). In a survey released today, Thursday, December 22, Poltracking found 10 names of vice presidential candidates with the top electability. Based on the tendency of closeness to political elites and king makers of the 2024 presidential election, Erick Thohir's electability was in first place with 16.2 percent. Followed by Ridwan Kamil 15.1 percent, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 12.0 percent, and Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno 9.4 percent. Furthermore, there are Khofifah Indar Parawansa 5.7 percent, Muhaimin Iskandar 5.7 percent, Puan Maharani 4.1 percent, Mahfud MD 3.0 percent, Andika Perkasa 2.7 percent and Airlangga Hartarto 2.6 percent. "In the distribution map or crosstab of political party voter data to 10 potential vice presidential candidates. PDI-P voters (23.2) percent, the preference for vice presidential election tends to be strong to Erick Thohir with 30.3 percent. Gerindra Party voters (11.1 percent) tend to be divided in choice "The vice president, between Erick Thohir and Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno 17.6 percent, Muhaimin Iskandar or Cak Imin 16.8 percent," said Executive Director of Poltracking Indonesia, Hanta Yuda, Thursday, December 22. Then in Golkar Party voters (9.3 percent) the choice of vice president tends to be strong for Ridwan Kamil with 25.5 percent. NasDem Party voters (6.9 percent) tend to be strong for Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono with 33.3 percent, as well as Democrat Party voters (6.7 percent) tend to be strong for AHY with 32.9 percent. Then among PKB voters (5.6 percent), the choice of vice presidential candidate tends to be strong to Cak Imin with 28.8 percent. PKS voters (5.3 percent) to AHY and Ridwan Kamil with 21.0 percent, PAN voters (4.1 percent) tend to Erick Thohir 20.8 percent, and Perindo Party voters (2.8 percent) tend to be divided between Ridwan Kamil 24.2 percent, and Erick Thohir 21.3 percent. Meanwhile, PPP voters (2.0 percent) tend to be strong with Ridwan Kamil 33.3 percent. "Data This survey also shows the findings of 3 strongest presidential candidates to 10 potential vice presidential candidates with the highest or majority support rates, namely Ganjar Pranowo voters (who get 32.5 percent electability), have the highest voter preferences to Erick Thohir with 29.5 percent, and voters Anies Baswedan ( 29.1 percent electability) have the highest voter preferences to Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 29.4 percent," explained Hanta. "Meanwhile, Prabowo Subianto voters (with the highest voter level 27.8 percent electability) tends to split into several vice presidential candidates, namely Ridwan Kamil 16.8 percent, Erick Thohir 15.9 percent, Sandiaga Uno 15.5 percent, and Muhaimin Iskandar 13.7 percent," he continued.

Another finding, added Hanta, is that voters who are satisfied with the performance of the Jokowi-Ma government (73.2 percent), the majority tend to give their choice to vice presidential candidate Erick Thohir with 19.2 percent. Meanwhile, those who are dissatisfied (19.0 percent) tend to give their choice to Ridwan Kamil 23.7 percent.

"Meanwhile, voters of Jokowi-Maruf 44.6 percent in the 2019 election, the majority tend to give a choice to vice presidential candidate Erick Thohir 22.1 percent. Meanwhile, 36.0 percent Prabowo-Sandiaga voters tend to be divided between vice presidential candidate Ridwan Kamil 22.2 percent and AHY 18.1 percent," he concluded. The Indonesian Poltracking survey was held on November 21-27, 2022 using a multistage random sampling strategy method. Surveys through face-to-face interviews with questionnaires to randomly selected respondents. The sample number in this survey is 1,220 respondents in 34 provinces with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.