4 King Maker For Presidential Candidates 2024 With Their Respective Dilemas: Megawati, Airlangga, Prabowo And Surya Paloh

Researcher of the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) Denny JA Fitri Hari when presenting the results of his survey in Jakarta, Tuesday (20/12/2022). BETWEEN/HO-LSI Denny JA

JAKARTA - The LSI survey institute Denny JA summarizes four king makers that determine presidential candidates and vice presidential candidates for the 2024 General Election as of December 2022. LSI researcher Denny JA Fitri Hari revealed that the four leaders of the political parties who became king makers were PDIP General Chair Megawati Soekarnoputri, Golkar Chairman Airlangga Hartarto, Gerindra chairman Prabowo Subianto, and NasDem chairman Surya Paloh. Three of the four king makers have the potential to continue the direction of President Joko Widodo's leadership. Meanwhile, one king maker can be the opponent of Jokowi's policy successors while leading the Republic of Indonesia. "In December 2022, LSI Denny JA recorded the growth of four king makers who will determine a maximum of three pairs of presidential candidates. Megawati, Airlangga, and Prabowo carry the spirit of continuing Jokowi, only Surya Paloh has the potential to become Jokowi's antitesta," Fitri Hari said in his statement, Tuesday, December 20. Fitri Hari mengungkapkan, masing-masing dari empat king maker ini menghadapi dilemma. Dilema ini berkaitan dengan posisi capres maupun cawapres yang akan diusung, posisi di pemerintahan, posisi koalisi, atau slogan ke depan sebagai kelanjutan atau antitesa Jokowi. Megawati's dilemma, said Fitri Hari, was to decide on the choice to make PDIP cadres Prabowo to Puan Maharani or Ganjar Pranowo, or leave Prabowo and carry PDIP cadres running as presidential candidates. "If Megawati submits Puan as Prabowo's vice presidential candidate, Ganjar will be proposed by another party as a presidential candidate. If Ganjar turns over Ganjar to be Prabowo's vice presidential candidate, wouldn't Ganjar's electability be higher and the party's PDIP is bigger than Gerindra?" said Fitri Hari. "Then, if Ganjar is chosen to run as a PDIP presidential candidate, who is his representative? The vice presidential candidate for Ganjar is Prabowo because Prabowo wants to remain a presidential candidate and means he is not in a coalition with Gerindra," he continued. According to Fitri Hari, Prabowo's dilemma is that his electability is under Ganjar Pranowo, but Prabowo must continue to advance to boost support for the Gerindra Party. "Pribowo's first choice received a vice presidential candidate from PDIP. But the pair from PDIP are getting more difficult because PDIP is the biggest party if possible will still elect a presidential candidate from their own party. Then, Prabowo has difficulty finding a vice presidential candidate outside PKB. Meanwhile, PKB insists that Cak Imin has the vice presidential candidate," he explained. Then, in the Airlangga Hartarto dilemma, whether Airlangg will be strong as a presidential candidate even though his electability is low or focused on becoming a vice presidential candidate for a potential presidential candidate. LSI Denny JA survey data shows that potential figures who are side by side with Airlangga are vice presidential candidates from Ganjar Pranowo or Anies Baswedan. The Ganjar-Airlangga pair was indeed 28.7 percent superior to the Anies-AH pair of 21.4 percent. "But the difference is still in single digits and can still be pursued for a long term of the presidential election. Indeed, there is still time to increase Airlangga's electability as a presidential candidate. But Airlangga don't forget that moving late will make Ganjar or Anies rush to have another vice presidential candidate," explained Fitri Hari. Meanwhile, Surya Paloh's current dilemma has a fairly strong opposition with Jokowi because he has declared Anies Baswedan his presidential candidate, but he is still part of the Jokowi government. "The dilemma of Surya Paloh, Nasdem remains in government or leaves the government to be firm that Anies Baswedan is carrying the issue of change," said Fitri Hari. "The next Dilema Surya Paloh, accommodates the PKS or Democrat opposition party with AHY as Anies' vice presidential candidate, or moderates itself to join KIB with Airlangga as vice presidential candidate," he added.