JAKARTA - The survey institute Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting released the results of a survey related to the effect of awareness on three prospective presidential candidates (candidates) in 2024, namely Ganjar Pranowo, Anies Baswedan and Prabowo Subianto.
As a result, Ganjar Pranowo took a landslide lead from Anies and Prabowo. Ganjar is preferred by voters who know the figures of the three candidates.
"In voters who know the three candidates, Ganjar received 42.6 percent support, a significant lead over Anies 28.5 percent, and Prabowo 22.9 percent," said SMRC Research Director Deni Irvani in a written statement, Tuesday, December 20. Meanwhile, in general voter groups, continued Deni, Ganjar is also still superior to Anies and Prabowo. Ganjar received 33.7 percent support, Anies 28.1 percent, and Prabowo 26.1 percent.
Deni revealed that Ganjar was superior because the governor of Central Java was preferable to other candidates. With a positive acceptance rate, according to him, Ganjar's electability is expected to continue to progress as voter awareness increases to him.
"If Ganjar is known to be the same as Prabowo and Anies, Ganjar is likely to be more superior to both," he said.
The latest update of the SMRC survey was conducted on 3-11 December 2022 involving two categories of respondents, namely 1,029 respondents in general and 708 respondents who really knew the three candidates. The composition of this survey is that all Indonesian citizens have the right to vote in general elections. Namely those who are 17 years old or older, or have been married when the survey was conducted.
From that population, 1,220 respondents were chosen by random (multistage random sampling). Response rate (respondents who can be interviewed validly) is 1,029 or 84 percent. A total of 1,029 respondents were analyzed.
The survey margin of error with the sample size is estimated at 3.1 percent at a 95 percent confidence level (symple random sampling assumption).
Quality control of the results of the interview was carried out randomly by 20 percent of the total sample by supervisors by returning to the selected respondents (spot checks).
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