Dedi Mulyadi's Rate In The West Java Gubernatorial Election Is Estimated To Be Smooth Even Though The Swing Voters Are Still High

The pair Dedi Mulyadi and Erwan Setiawan are predicted to win in the 2024 West Java gubernatorial election. (Photo: Special)

JAKARTA Unpad political observer, Firman Manan assessed that the Dedi Mulyadi-Erwan Setiawan pair could hardly be defeated based on the results of several survey institutions that showed that the West Java gubernatorial election battle was no longer competitive.

According to him, there are several factors that make the Dedi-Erwan pair dominant from the start until before voting.

First, the overflow of the coattail effect from Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's victory in the 2024 presidential election.

Carried by the majority of political parties of the Advanced Indonesia Coalition (KIM), Dedi-Erwan is considered to represent Prabowo.

Second, Dedi's growing popularity is due to the viral case of Vina Cirebon. Ahead of the West Java gubernatorial election, Dedi regularly appears here in Youtube and podcasts to interview people related to Vina's case.

Dedi was even presented as a witness in the trial review of a number of convicts in the Vina case.

"This is a problem for other candidates because I think the competitor will only be seen on the fighting radar at the end," said Firman, Sunday, November 3, 2024.

He revealed that the high number of gamang voters or swing voters in the West Java gubernatorial election in the range of 25 percent is considered not to affect Dedi Mulyadi's smooth pace with Erwan Setiawan.

However, it is possible that a surprise will occur in the final corner.

"Reflecting on the experience, in West Java reading survey data must be careful. In the 2008 and 2013 gubernatorial elections, Ahmad Heryawan was under his opponent, but managed to get out as a winner," added Firman.

The average results of the 2024 West Java gubernatorial election survey show that the Dedi Mulyadi-Erwan Setiawan pair is unable to be matched by other candidate pairs with electability above 60 percent.

The results of the Volvo Center Research and Consulting survey released last Friday, October 25, showed that Dedi-Erwan's electability reached 61.8 percent. Their closest competitor, Ahmad Syaikhu-Ilham Akbar Habibie (Syaikhu-Ilham) was only able to collect 18.6 percent.

Two other couples, Acep Adang Ruhiyat-Gita Dwi and Jeje Wiradinata-Ronal Suraparadja each pocketed 7.4 percent and 5.6 percent.

Two weeks earlier, a survey by Indonesian Political Indicators showed the dominance of Dedi Mulyadi-Erwan Setiawan with an electability of 75.7 percent, followed by Syaikhu-Ilham 13.8 percent, while the electability of the other two pairs of candidates was less than 5 percent.