Instrate Survey Institute Records Ridwan Kamil-Suswono Superior Electability From 2 Other Paslons

Candidates for Governor and Deputy Governor of Jakarta Ridwan Kamil-Suswono. (Photo: ANTARA)

JAKARTA - The Indonesian Strategic Institute (Instrate) survey institute released the results of a survey related to the electability of the three pairs of candidates in the Jakarta gubernatorial election which will be held on November 27.

The survey results show that pair number 01 Ridwan Kamil-Suswono leads with strong electability.

Although Ridwan Kamil-Suswono's pair took the lead, the fight for the undecidend voters could still determine the final result.

"According to a survey conducted by Instrate on September 25-30, 2024, the Ridwan Kamil-Suswono pair was ranked at the top with 48.29 percent support," said Instrate Analyst Adi Nugroho in his statement, Sunday, October 6.

Followed by the second position, the Pramono Anung Wibowo-Rano Karno pair got 31.71 percent. Meanwhile, the Dharma Pongrekun-Kun Wardana pair fell behind with only 4.34 percent of support.

"Meanwhile, 15.66 percent of respondents stated that they had not made a choice, providing space for changes in results in the coming weeks," he continued.

Adi also emphasized the importance of support from the 'Child of Abah' group, namely former supporters of Anies Baswedan in the 2024 presidential election. Based on the survey, 78.84 percent of this group has made their choice in the DKI Jakarta Pilkada, with 46.6 percent of them supporting the Ridwan Kamil-Suswono pair.

"This shows their strength in attracting supporters from the Anies Baswedan base, which is one of the important keys in the gubernatorial election this time," he explained.

Meanwhile, Adi continued, the Pramono Anung-Rano Karno pair received 29.22 percent support from this group. Meanwhile, Dharma Pongrekun-Kun Wardana only won 3.27 percent.

"The shift in support from Anies supporters played a major role in improving Ridwan Kamil's position in this contest," he added.

Adi continued, the survey also revealed that the majority of Jakartans believe that the DKI Jakarta Pilkada will be completed in one round. As many as 64.11 percent of respondents believe that the election process will not continue into the second round, while 16.20 percent predict there will be two rounds.

According to Adi Nugroho, this trend may reflect the saturation of the community after a long series of elections in 2024.

After the presidential and legislative elections, people tend to want a quick finish. They feel that one of the pairs, most likely Ridwan Kamil-Suswono, will win the majority of the votes in one round," he said.

Although the Ridwan Kamil-Suswono pair is currently at the peak of electability, Adi said, as much as 15.66 percent of the undecided voters were still important factors that could change the political map in the last weeks before the election.

According to Adi, this prospective voters is a target that the Pramono Anung-Rano Karno pair can take advantage of.

With voters still not making a choice, space for change remains open. Pramono-Rano pairs, although left behind, can still catch up if they can change their campaign strategy effectively and focus on issues relevant to undecided voters," Adi said.

Overall, Adi said, the results of the Instrate survey illustrate that the Ridwan Kamil-Suswono pair are currently in a very strong position to win the DKI Jakarta Pilkada.

However, Adi assessed, with the undecided voters and the higher popularity of Rano Karno than Pramono Anung, the fight was not completely over.

"The effective campaign in recent weeks will be the final determinant of this political contestation," he said.

This survey was conducted on September 25-30 through face-to-face interviews involving 1,750 respondents.

The survey method uses a multistage random sampling method, with a confidence level of 95 percent and a margin of error of approximately 2.34 percent.