After The Testimony Of 4 Jokowi Ministers, Social Assistance Is Not Correlated With Prabowo Gibran's Victory

The atmosphere of the Constitutional Court's trial in the 2024 Presidential Election dispute (Diah Ayu/VOI)

JAKARTA - Executive Director of Indo Barometer M. Qodari assessed that the social assistance program (bansos) did not have a correlation for the victory of presidential-vice presidential candidate pair number 2 Prabowo-Gibran in the 2024 Presidential Election (Pilpres). He said that the public was more likely to choose presidential candidates based on firm and close leadership qualities with the people. "So the reason people chose presidential candidates was because they had certain qualities. It also applies to money politics or dawn attacks, so there is no guarantee between giving money politics by choosing candidates, let alone social assistance or social protection," said Qodari quoted by ANTARA, Sunday, April 7. He explained the reasons why Prabowo with firm qualification, was more chosen compared to Ganjar, who was considered a populist or Anies who was considered smart. This was in his opinion because the proportion of voters who wanted a leader to be firmer than on other aspects. Why did candidate A win compared to candidate B?' Because those who wanted qualification A may have a greater proportion than qualification B, I remember 2014 who won Mr. Jokowi, because those who wanted a populist president were higher than those who wanted to be firm president, he said. According to him, in 2019 the pattern remained the same, plus one more variable was real work and it led to Jokowi. "This year if the highest Indo Barometer survey was the firm person," he said. Qodari said when he was an expert witness to provide information according to his expertise in the field of statistics, which was presented by the attorney of Prabowo-Gibran at the General Election Result Dispute (PHPU) trial at the Constitutional Court. Qodari quoted the exit poll data carried out by Litbang Kompas on February 14, 2024 that those offered and received social assistance among the three groups of voters had the same proportion, namely 15-16 percent, but did not affect the electability of the presidential and vice president. Second, said Qodari, the Indonesian Political Indicator survey also presented the same thing from 22.5 percent received social assistance and 77.3 percent did not receive social assistance still choose Prabowo Subianto-Giran Rakabumming Raka

Third, according to him, a survey from Indo Barometer in October 2023 regarding the reasons for choosing a presidential candidate has no reason for receiving social assistance. The most important reason people choose presidential candidates from open questions is that they are firm and brave 25 percent, paying attention to the people 16.2 percent and the people are smart 8.4 percent, 6.2 percent authoritative in addition to that reason, below 5 percent.