SMRC Survey: Those Who Believe Ganjar Is Involved In E-KTP Corruption Majority Of Anies Voters

Ganjar Pranowo and Anies Baswedan. (doc. Private-Central Java Provincial Government)

JAKARTA - The Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) Survey Institute released a poll on cases related to political figures who will become presidential candidates in 2024. One of the cases that became survey material was the E-KTP corruption case. Where, the issue developed that the prospective presidential candidate from PDIP, Ganjar Pranowo, was involved in the vortex of the case even though the truth has not yet been proven. In the survey, respondents were asked whether or not they knew whether Ganjar was involved in the corruption case in the procurement of E-KTP. As a result, those who claimed to know 18 percent and 82 percent did not know. "Of those who know, 33 percent believe in this opinion, 46 percent do not believe, and 21 percent do not answer," said SMRC founder Saiful Mujani in a survey presentation broadcast on SMRC TV YouTube on Thursday, August 31. SMRC also mapped the influence of this case on the electability of the three presidential candidates from questions to respondents. From those who know the view that Ganjar is involved in the E-KTP case, 33 percent chose Prabowo, 32 percent Ganjar, and 27 percent Anies. There are still 7 percent who have not answered. Meanwhile, from those who did not know, 37 percent chose Ganjar, 34 percent Prabowo, and Anies 19 percent. There are still 11 percent who do not answer. Of the respondents who knew about this case, 33.1 percent believed that Ganjar was involved in the E-KTP corruption case. Meanwhile, 46.4 percent did not believe it. In the aspect of public attitudes that are aware of this case, the electability of the three presidential readings has shifted. From those who believe that Ganjar was involved in the E-KTP case, the majority are Anies supporters with 43 percent, 37 percent Prabowo, and Ganjar only 17 percent. There is 3 percent who did not answer. Meanwhile, of those who did not believe this view, 48 percent chose Ganjar, 29 percent Prabowo, and only 18 percent Anies. There are still 5 percent who do not answer. According to Saiful, the effect of this case is more on the competition between Anies and Ganjar. “ There are effects and significance (E-KTP cases), especially for Anies' rivalry with Ganjar,” explained Saiful. But Saiful noted that because there are fewer people who believe that view than those who don't believe or because they don't believe more, this will be a challenge in itself for those who want to play this issue. “ Since the basis of people who believe it is smaller, it is a challenge for people who want to play this E-KTP issue. Once socialized that such E-KTP cases, who believe, linearly, tend to lose to the number of people who do not believe, ” he explained.

For information, this survey was conducted in the period 31 July – 11 August 2023 by analyzing 4,260 respondents from populations in each province. The survey margin of error with the number of samples nationally is estimated to be +/- 1.65 percent at a 95 percent confidence level using the simple random sampling assumption.