SMRC Survey: Puan Maharani Is The Weak Point For The 2024 Presidential Candidate

Chairperson of the PDIP DPP as well as Chairman of the DPR Puan Maharani. (Doc PDIP)

JAKARTA - The national survey institute Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) released the latest survey results entitled “ Prospective Prospective Prospective Candidate for the 2024 Cawapres 2024”. As a result, the Chairperson of the DPR who is also the Chairperson of the PDIP DPP, Puan Maharani, is considered uncompetitive to become a presidential candidate in 2024. In addition, Puan can only become a vice presidential candidate. "But if you pair them as vice presidential candidates with the most competitive presidential candidates, even Puan tends to weaken her partner," said SMRC founder Saiful Mujani in a press statement on Thursday, September 22. The results were obtained if the presidential election was only followed by three names. Namely, Gerindra Chair Prabowo Subianto, DKI Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan, and Puan Maharani. In the survey, Prabowo got 40.2 percent of the vote, Anies 27.5 percent, and Puan 7.8 percent. "This shows, judging by voter preferences, Puan is not competitive to be president," said Saiful. DOK SMRC/VOI So, what if Puan becomes a candidate for deputy paired with Anies as the most competitive candidate after Ganjar and Prabowo? Related to this, Saiful stated that there are a maximum of four presidential and vice presidential pairs in the 2024 presidential elections with PDIP records advancing their own candidates without forming a coalition with other parties. If PDIP commits a coalition, he said, it is possible that a maximum of three pairs will be possible. According to Saiful, as a candidate for deputy who is expected to win the presidential election, Puan must be paired with a competitive presidential candidate, namely Prabowo or Anies. If Puan is paired with Anies in a simulation of four pairs, then Anies-Puan will lose significantly to Prabowo-Muhaimin Iskandar. In detail, the Prabowo-Muhaimin pair got 39.3 percent, Anies-Puan 25.6 percent, Andika Perkasa- Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY) 7.5 percent, and Airlangga Hartarto-Zulkifli Hasan 3 percent. “Although not yet 50 percent plus, Prabowo-Muhaimin has a greater chance than Anies, who is paired with Puan,” explained Saiful. Meanwhile, if three couples, Prabowo-Muhaimin get 41.7 percent support, Anies-Puan 26.5 percent, and Airlangga-AHY 7.5 percent. "In this simulation, the gap between Prabowo-Muhaimin and Anies-Puan is getting further and further," said Saiful Mujani. This survey was conducted face-to-face on August 5-13, 2022. The survey involved 1,220 respondents from the population of all Indonesian citizens who were randomly selected. The survey's margin of error with the sample size is estimated at ± 3.1 percent at a 95 percent confidence level (simple random sampling assumption).