After Gerindra And PKB Coalition, Observers Predict There Will Be 4 Axis With The 2024 Presidential Candidate Threshold Fulfilled

Gerindra chairman Prabowo Subianto with PKB chairman Cak Imin at the Gerindra National Meeting at SICC Sentul Bogor. (Prabowo Media Team doc)

JAKARTA - Political observer from Al-Azhar University, Ujang Komarudin predicts that there will be four axes of party coalitions in the 2024 presidential election. This can be seen after Gerindra formed a coalition with PKB ahead of the 2024 election.

“There will probably be four coalition axes. Each axle meets the presidential nomination threshold,” said Ujang when contacted by VOI, Monday, August 15.

Ujang said the four axes were the United Indonesia Coalition (KIB), which consisted of the Golkar Party, PAN, and PPP. Next is the Gerindra coalition with PKB.

Then, the other two coalition axes are a number of parties that have not shown their political direction.

So, the third axis is NasDem, Democrats, and PKS. These three parties are likely to form a new coalition because they do not want to just follow the party that has already formed a coalition.

“NasDem, PKS, and Democrats seem to have their own presidential and vice presidential candidates. NasDem already has the names of presidential candidates, namely Anies Baswedan, Ganjar Pranowo, and Andika Perkasa," said Ujang.

“The Democrats also don't want to join Gerindra-PKB because they have AHY who is likely to be running for vice president. They don't want it, they can't get anything, because they want to have their own bargaining power," he continued.

Then, the rest of the PDI-P (PDIP). Seeing this condition, Ujang arrests PDIP will not be included in the three coalitions. Although PDIP General Chair Megawati Sorkarnoputri seems intimate with Gerindra Chair Prabowo Subianto on several occasions, PDIP is better off running alone in carrying out a presidential candidate.

Furthermore, according to Ujang, as the party that won the election, PDIP would not feel so lost if Gerindra made its own axis. Moreover, the number of PDIP seats in the 2019 election met the presidential nomination threshold of 20 percent.

"If the coalition pattern is like this, it looks like PDIP will go forward on its own. PDIP also doesn't seem to feel lost because it has its own attitude," said Ujang.