JAKARTA - The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) predicts a drought will occur in the provinces of East Java, Bali, West Nusa Tenggara (NTB), East Nusa Tenggara (NTT) in September.

"There is a potential for a meteorological drought with a caution level in East Java, Bali, NTB and NTT," said BMKG Head of Prediction and Early Warning Miming Saepudin during a coordination meeting of the Disaster Management Intelligence Team via webinar, Monday, August 31.

A number of these areas, said Miming, have a fairly long number of days without rain (HTH), with a time span of about 30 days to 60 days. There are also areas that have HTH for more than 60 days.

In addition, the forecast of rainfall in September and October in East Java, Bali, NTB, NTT will take place with low intensity, with a category of 0 to 100 mm per day.

Meanwhile, high intensity rainfall occurs in western Sumatra, northern Central Kalimantan, western parts of Sulawesi, Maluku, North Nauluku, and central Papua.

"Then in September, areas prone to forest and land fires such as Sumatra and Kalimantan are predicted to experience moderate intensity rainfall," he said.

Furthermore, about 85 percent of Indonesia's territory is still in the dry season. Meanwhile, 15 percent of the area has entered the wet season or rainy season.

September is also predicted to be the beginning of a period of extreme weather changes or what is commonly known as the transition season. Weather changes are subject to change on a daily and weekly scale.

"At the beginning of the transition this season, the potential for extreme weather such as tornadoes, rain with lightning or lightning needs to be watched out for," said Miming.


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