JAKARTA - The National Awakening Party (PKB) is optimistic that General Chair Muhaimin Iskandar or Cak Imin can increase his electability as a presidential candidate in 2024. In the Politics Research & Consulting (PRC) and Indonesian Political Parameters (PPI) survey which was just released today, Cak Imin's electability was recorded 0.1 percent in a simulation of 32 names. While in the simulation of 15 names, Cak Imin's name was not on the radar.
Deputy Chairperson of the PKB, Jazuli Fawaid, assessed that there was still plenty of time for Cak Imin to be in the top five of the presidential candidate survey. In fact, he said, in the next two years, Cak Imin, who later changed his nickname to Gus Muhaimin, overtook the electability of the Governor of Central Java, Ganjar Pranowo.
Because according to Jazilul, the electability of potential presidential candidates for both Ganjar Pranowo and Prabowo Subianto has not yet reached 30 percent. It is known, in the survey, the electability of Ganjar in the simulation of 32 names was recorded at 23.1 percent and Prabowo 21.6 percent.
"I've learned that if a person has not yet 30 percent of the electorate, there is no guarantee that he will become President. This means that Mr. Muhaimin and Mr. Ganjar's numbers are the same, there is no guarantee of winning. So I took an Uber in two years, Mr. Muhaimin, to overtake Mr. Ganjar. It could be," said Jazilul in the online release of the National Political Outlook Survey: Observing the Axis of the Party Coalition, Monday, December 27.
From the existing research, although the names available are the same, said Jazilul, none of them exceeds 30 percent. "So the name of Mbak Puan, Pak Muhaimin, who is not significant to win today. It means zero. If it's zero, we can't be optimistic even though our Ketum number is not big yet?" he continued.
Instead of being pessimistic, the Deputy Chairperson of the MPR will use the results of this survey as an evaluation material. Jazilul stated that Cak Imin's men would use the 2024 election as a momentum for PKB. Moreover, he said, the survey results will change over time.
“Can the victory portrait be seen today? I'm not sure yet. Because the figure is below 30 percent. For example, Pak Ganjar, Pak Prabowo wants to win by 25 percent while the political moment is still two years away. So that's a challenge. So just take note, 2024 is a momentum for political parties. Do not just because our survey is zero percent considered a loss. Yesterday Mr. Ma'ruf just became vice president. If people say it's because of Pak Jokowi, yes, whatever the way, politics is momentum," said Jazilul.
It is known, in the presidential election simulation involving 15 names, Ganjar Pranowo won with 25 percent gain. Prabowo Subianto is in second place with 22.9 percent, Anies Baswedan is third with 12.4 percent. Sandiaga Salahuddin was fourth with 9.4 percent, Ridwan Kamil 5.8 percent, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 5.2 percent. Seventh Gatot Nurmantyo 1.9 percent. While the eighth were Khofifah Indar Parawansa 1.6 percent, the ninth Tri Rismaharini 1.4 percent, the tenth Puan Maharani with 1.1 percent. Eleven Susi Pudjiastuti 0.9 percent, twelve Airlangga Hartarto 0.8 percent, thirteen Erick Tohir 0 .6 percent, fourteen Surya Paloh 0.4 percent and don't know 10.6 percent.
This survey was conducted on 12 November - 4 December 2021. By involving 1,600 respondents in 34 provinces. The criteria for respondents are at least 17 years old or already married. Sampling using a multi-stage random sampling method with a margin of error of 2.5 percent and a confidence level of 9.5 percent.
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