BMKG Forecasts Weather during Eid Light to Moderate Rain

JAKARTA - The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG), predicts light to moderate rain during the 1447 Hijriah Eid al-Fitr celebration. BMKG also continues to monitor earthquakes that have recently occurred in the country, especially those with the potential for tsunamis.

"I will convey the weather conditions ahead of the homecoming and Eid al-Fitr in order to be ready together with the Ministry/institution for the smooth transportation and safety of the community," said the Head of BMKG, Teuku Faisal Fathani, in a meeting with Commission V of the DPR, Wednesday, March 11.

Regarding the monthly rainfall prediction, Faisal said that for March 2026, it is predicted that rain will fall in the medium to high category. BMKG needs to be aware of 3 provinces that have the potential to experience very high rainfall, namely West Java, Central Java and Sulawesi.

Then in April, generally the rain is predicted to be medium to high. It is estimated that until this week, especially for Java, Bali, and Nusa Tenggara, the rainfall is still quite high and only begins to decrease next week.

The atmospheric dynamics that affect the period of Eid al-Fitr holidays and holidays are the Asian Monsoon which brings more rainfall and there is the potential for the growth of tropical cyclone seeds, especially in the southern region of Indonesia. So in the second week of March, there is a potential for an increase in rainfall based on the potential analysis of BMKG.

"We see that for the dates of March 11 to 20 and March 21 to 30, the weather is predicted to be light to moderate rain. If heavy rain, I have mentioned in several provinces that I have observed, but during the Eid itself, it is predicted to be dominated by clouds to heavy rain," he said.

Currently, BMKG reports that the tropical cyclone Nuri has grown and is expected to move north or east away from Indonesia. Meanwhile, for the growth of cyclone seedlings in the northern hemisphere, generally around July-November, the peak is in September, while the North is the cyclone seedlings in April.

"The growth of CB clouds for the March period is predicted that in the eastern part of Indonesia and the central part, there is also the potential for CB clouds that can cause turbulence and lighting during flight or also heavy rain and thunderstorms for each airport in East Indonesia," said Faisal.

Then for the high wave climatology in March in the Western Indian Ocean, Aceh to Lampung, the southern Sunda Strait, the Indian Ocean from Banten to NTT, the North Pacific to Papua, which is estimated to have waves ranging from 1.25 to 2.5 meters.

Then in April, this high wave will decrease later. Moderate waves are occurring in the western Indian Ocean, Aceh to Lampung, the South Sunda Strait, and the South Indian Ocean, Banten to Nusa Tenggara.

"We report that hopefully it will not affect the crossing process in several ports in Indonesia," he said.

Faisal said that BMKG is constantly updating information on land, sea, and air traffic. BMKG is also strengthening digital weather for traffic.

"The chairman said that from the BPK findings we must continue to improve information communication to the public so that we also make a warning of dino casting, then the land travel route and the weather conditions there along the route until the train journey. We have also prepared. And hopefully the challenge later is to convey that the public can make good use of this information, "he concluded.