Rupiah Predicted Weakening, Influenced By Global Trade Tension Escalation

JAKARTA - The rupiah exchange rate in trading Monday, October 13, 2025, is estimated to have the potential to weaken against the United States (US) dollar.

To note, citing Bloomberg, on Friday, October 10, 2025, the rupiah spot exchange rate was closed slightly by 0.01 percent to the level of Rp. 16,570 per US dollar.

Meanwhile, the Jakarta Interbank Spot Dollar Rate (Jisdor) exchange rate of Bank Indonesia (BI) closed down 0.30 percent to a price level of Rp. 16,585 per US dollar.

Doo Financial Futures analyst Lukman Leong estimates that the rupiah exchange rate will weaken against the US dollar amid fears of an escalation of the trade war between China and the United States.

"Rupiah is expected to weaken against the US dollar amid fears of an escalation of the China-US trade war," he told VOI, Monday, October 13.

According to him, although the US dollar index had fallen quite sharply after President Trump threatened to increase import rates against China by 100 percent, currencies sensitive to China's tariff and economic conditions, such as the rupiah and other developing countries, remain at risk of under pressure.

"The dollar index itself fell quite large after Trump threatened to add a 100 percent tariff to China, but sensitive currencies with Chinese tariffs and economies such as Rupiah and other EM currencies have the potential to be more depressed," he explained.

Lukman projects that the movement of the rupiah on Monday, October 13, will move in the range of Rp. 16,500 per US dollar to Rp. 16,650 per US dollar.