OECD Revision Of Indonesia's Economic Growth Projection 2025 And 2026 At 4.9 Percent

JAKARTA - The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has revised Indonesia's economic growth projection in a more positive direction.

In a report entitled OECD Economic Outlook-Interim Report September 2025, OECD estimates that the Indonesian economy will grow by 4.9 percent by 2025, this figure is 0.2 percentage points higher than the previous estimate released in June 2025.

For 2026, Indonesia's economic growth was also revised to 4.9 percent, an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous projection.

Meanwhile, this economic growth is expected to be driven by looser monetary policy, strong public investment, and domestic consumption resilience.

In addition, OECD notes that investment recovery will provide a boost to economic momentum, although there are still external challenges such as a decline in global trade and an increase in import rates by the United States which remains a risk to the economy.

In terms of price, Indonesia's inflation is estimated to increase slightly from 1.9 percent in 2025 to 2.7 percent in 2026.

OECD also explained that this increase was mostly due to rupiah depreciation which began to put pressure on the price of imported goods.