Macro Assumptions Of The 2026 State Budget: 5.4 Percent Economic Growth, 2.5 Percent Inflation

JAKARTA - Chairman of the DPR RI Budget Agency Said Abdullah conveyed the final results of the agreement with the government regarding the macro assumptions of the 2026 State Budget.

One of the agreed upon is economic growth at 5.4 percent.

Then, continued Said, inflation was set at 2.5 percent.

Meanwhile, the rupiah exchange rate was agreed at the level of Rp. 16,500 per US dollar.

Meanwhile, the SBN interest rate is 10 years at 6.9 percent.

Said said, the price of Indonesian crude oil or Indonesia Crude Oil Price (ICP) is set at 70 US dollars per barrel.

Then, lifting oil 6100.000 barrels per day and ifting gas 984.000 barrels of oil equivalent per day

"The entire agreement on the numbers above is that we assume it is an important foundation for the government," Said said at the 5th DPR Plenary Meeting of Session Period I 2025-2026 at the DPR Building, Parliament Complex, Jakarta, Tuesday, September 23.

Then, continued Said, the government targets economic growth to range from 7 to 8 percent in the medium term.

Thus, the above 5.4 percent economic growth is an important foundation for the government.

"So that the entire people feels the economic growth cake. The DPR's Budget Agency together with the government agree that inflation and the rupiah exchange must be maintained so that it is stable. Because, both of them can trigger price turmoil in the real sector, cause shocks on the monitor side, and trigger another crisis eruption," he explained.

To achieve the inflation target and the value of the repairman above, continued Said, the central government, local governments, and Bank Indonesia must always run harmoniously.

The goal is that fiscal and monitary policies can be agile, creative, and at the same time consolidative.

Said said the 2026 SBN interest rate was also agreed at the level of 6.9. He said it would be positioned as a moderate level and as an upper limit psychologically.

According to Said, in the past month there have been signs of better stability in the financial market.

He said, if this trend continues, it is not impossible that the SBN interest rate next year can be reduced, so that the cost of funds borne by the APBN can also be lower.

"However, we believe, the cowboy style of the Minister of Finance (Purbaya Yudhi Sadive) we can carry out a strict and proven money policy. In this month, we hope that the condition will continue so that next year's SBN interest rate can be lower, so that the cost of funds borne by the state budget will be lower," he said.