Donald Trump's Gambling In Iran That Is Dangerous To The World

JAKARTA - What Israel has been waiting for, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the provocateurs, the war is over, when US President Donald Trump announced his country's military had bombed three Iranian nuclear facilities, including Fordow.

It is believed that using a special GBU-43/B MOAB bomb dubbed "kicked all the bombs" and could destroy a hidden target up to 100 meters underground, the US may have destroyed the Fordow nuclear facility, which Israel wants to destroy the most.

Trump threatened Iran not to retaliate, but just hours from Saturday's attack, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragachim declared the bombing of the three nuclear facilities a statement of war from the US against Iran.

"The world must not forget that it is the United States, which in the midst of a diplomatic process, has betrayed diplomacy by supporting aggressive actions of the regime of perpetrators of genocide and violators of Israeli law," Aragachim said as widely quoted by the global mass media as reported by Antara.

Iran, said Aragachim, has the right to fight with the full force of every US aggression and crimes committed by their tyrannical regime. Iran has the right to defend itself and defend its national interests.

A more explicit statement was made by Iran's UN Ambassador, Ali Bagrein, that Iran would retaliate accordingly for the US attack and stop aggression by anyone, including the US.

Donald Trump's move was certainly warmly welcomed by the government of Benjamin Netanyahu and pro-Israeli groups in US governance and society.

But this action was also criticized by other parts of the US society, from ordinary people, to experts and elites.

They think Trump has plunged the US into a war sparked by others and occurred on other people's territory. Ironically, Trump, who rejects US involvement in the Russian-Ukraine war, delivered an antiwar political sale that saw him win elections twice in the US.

Trump is considered to have made gambling very dangerous, not only for the US but also for the world.

Karim Sadjadpour, analyst at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, in his post on X, assessed that Trump naively thought Iran, which was stabbed by a military strike, would rise to reach a diplomatic deal on its nuclear matter.

Sadjadpour is actually worried that Iran will think otherwise. The proof is that Foreign Minister Abbas Aragachim and Ambassador Ali Bagrein even stated that Iran is determined to fight an all-out war.

"This US attack could even open a new chapter rather than ending the 46-year US-Iran war," said Sadjadpour.

The sharpest criticism was made by one of Trump's political opponents, Senator Bernie Sanders, who called Trump very unconstitutional.

"The only entity that can declare this country war is the US Congress. The US president does not have this right," said Sanders in front of its supporters, shortly after Trump announced the US's success in bombing the three Iranian nuclear facilities.

Sanders criticized Trump's authoritarian way of taking political policies that he should not have done. Trump is often considered to have violated the US constitution, including involving soldiers (National Guard) in civil protests in the US.

The cycle of war is re-entered

Sanders' view represents the current major trend in the US regarding US involvement in foreign war.

Long before Trump attacked Iran, antiwar sentiment in the US had spread.

Now, Trump may face much broader and more devastating antiwar protests than those faced by Richard Nixon and Lyndon Johnson in the 1960s and 1970s when the US people opposed the Vietnam War.

Ironically, one of Trump's supporting bases is the significant number of US antiwar communities.

If Trump is not well managed, then his political position is threatened, especially next year he will face a Sela election that can produce a parliamentary composition that has a total composition with him. If this happens, bad scenarios can be created, including impeachment.

The threat of impeachment has even been raised by representatives of the US people shortly after Trump bombed Iran.

One of the figures who threatened impeachment was the Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez legislator, who was the same as Bernie Sanders, who considered Trump unconstitutional for attacking Iran without Congressional authorization.

Ocasio-Cortez considers Donald Trump to have violated the Constitution and the authority of Congress in declaring war.

The situation endangered the US, in addition to being able to reinsert the US in the war cycle, which Trump ironically tried to stop.

Many US circles are worried that Iran will be even more reckless.

Iran may no longer only attack Israel, but also US interests in the Middle East, including dozens of their military bases in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Iraq, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and the United Arab Emirates.

And foreign ministers, Iran's permanent representatives at the United Nations, and moreover Iran's military leaders, have pledged not to bow to diplomacy accompanied by threats and aggression.

If Iran decides to attack US military facilities in the Middle East, then the result is fatal, therefore it means requiring Iran to enter or cross areas of Arab countries where US military facilities are located. If this happens, war could spread.

Currently alone, Iran has released their missiles across the airspace of Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, because it does not want to cross a number of Gulf and Jordanian countries, which in addition to refusing to become Iran-Israeli battlefield, are also under security ties with the US.

It can be even more reckless

Another dangerous thing is if the interpretation of war is more than just a tool of war, but also anything that represents the national representation of warring countries.

That means all civilian facilities and civilian activities, including oil trading, are considered legitimate as targets of war.

Under these conditions, war does not only occur in Iran and Israel, but also other places that are considered to be related to war parties.

And that includes the Strait of Hormuz flanked by Oman and Iran.

Iran, which has experience in facing a long war with Iraq from 1980 to 1988, is added to being used to facing international sanctions that even the US has done so since 1984, could recklessly lock up global trade corridors, including the Strait of Hormuz which is the path for 30 percent of world oil trade. Imagine the consequences for the global price system and the stability of the world economy.

The reckless action could occur, especially so far that Iran has felt continuously tricked and betrayed by the US in a diplomatic package for the release of international sanctions in exchange for the denomination of the nuclear program.

Currently, there is only a consensus in the largest part of Iran's elite that whatever they do will never be enough by the West, especially the US.

Ironically, at the same time the US never wanted to correct Israel's aggressive actions in the Middle East, including destroying Gaza.

Long before Iran embraced the nuclear, Israel had often attacked Middle Eastern countries on charges of possessing nuclear weapons, including attacking the Osirak nuclear reactor in Iraq in 1981.

The funny thing is, Israel has never been open to the world and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) about its nuclear weapons. More unfairly, Israel did not sign the Anti-Distribution of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) Pact which was actually signed by Iran and 188 other countries, including Indonesia.

The world should be fair, that it is not only Iran that must be stripped because Israel must also be stripped. This has even been expressed by many world leaders, one of whom is the former president and prime minister of Russia, Dmitry Medvedev.

A series of hypocracies and double standards like this make the current US action in Iran look even more adventurous in the eyes of the world.

Now, Trump, their president, selfishly shrinks the possibility of a broader war that endangers the Middle East and the world.

He has reactivated the vicious circle of war, which he promised will end during the three US elections he participated in. In fact, this circle of war can plunge the world into mass misery.

Maybe it didn't happen, but it might also happen. What is clear, the possibility of a diplomatic solution is running low, and this is very dangerous for the world.