From 3 Surveys, Ridwan Kamil-Suswono's Electability Is Still The Highest

JAKARTA - Since the registration of candidates for regional heads until now, the electability of candidate pairs (paslon) Governor-Vice Governor Ridwan Kamil-Suswono is still the highest in the Jakarta gubernatorial election compared to other candidate pairs.

In the results of a poll by the Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) conducted on September 6-9, Ridwan Kamil-Suswono had 51.8 percent electability, Pramono Anung-Rano Karno 28.4 percent, and Dharma Pongrekun-Kun Wardana 3.2 percent.

Meanwhile, in the Poltracking survey which was held on September 9-15, RK-Suswono received 47.5 percent electability, Pramono-Rano 31.5 percent, while Dharma-Kun 5.1 percent.

In the Charta Politica survey which was held on September 19-24, the electability of RK-Suswono was 48.3 percent, Pramono-Rano 36.5 percent, while Dharma-Kun 5.6 percent.

"If we look at Kang Emil-Suswono still leads with 48.3 percent," said Executive Director of Charta Politica Indonesia Yunarto Wijaya in a survey presentation quoted on Friday, October 4.

Although there is still a gap in electability for the three pairs of candidates, Yunarto said that the competition between RK-Suswono and Pramono-Rano began to be tight. According to him, the two pairs of pilkada participants in Jakarta have the opportunity to get electability with a number that meets the requirements to become winners in one round. Namely 50 percent plus one.

"So it can be seen that there will be quite a tight fight. At least two pairs are considered to have the opportunity for about 52 days remaining to get a 1 round win threshold," he explained.

Charta Politica also conducted a survey of candidates for governor without his deputy. Again, Ridwan Kamil occupies the top position with 47.9 percent electability, Pramono Anung 35.8 percent, and Dharma Pongrekun 5.3 percent.

For information, this survey was conducted in the period 19-24 September 2024 with a total sample of 1,200 respondents who are residents of DKI Jakarta aged over 17 years or married.

The withdrawal of respondents was obtained through a multistage random sampling technique with a margin of error of up to 2.83 percent and a confidence level of 95 percent with the assumption of simple random sampling.