Polymarket Bets Are Getting Hotter, Trump's Opportunity To Increase Reaches 71%

JAKARTA - Former President of the United States, Donald Trump, is getting closer to the White House after a recent assassination attempt. According to the Polymarket prediction market, Trump's chances of victory have now reached 71%, a sharp increase from 68% as soon as the tragic event.

Reporting from Bitcoin.com News, on July 15, 2024, the bet in Polymarket showed a total bet value for the presidential election reaching 258 million US Dollars (around Rp. 4.1 trillion). This figure reflects the strong confidence of the petaruh against Trump's potential return to the presidency. On the other hand, the incumbent President Joe Biden's chances are only 17%, while Vice President Kamala Harris has a 6% chance.

Apart from Trump, several other names are also a concern in Polymarkets. A broker politician has a 2% chance, Michelle Obama with a 2% chance, and Robert Kennedy Jr with 1% chances. Statistics in Predictit.org show similar trends, with Trump's chances of 67% and Biden 25%. On the platform, Harris has a 12% chance, California Governor Gavin Newsom 5%, and Robert Kennedy Jr 2%.

Not only that, but Polymarket also offers attractive bets regarding this incident. The Secret Service chief has a 29% chance of being fired, and surprisingly, 95% is likely that the shooter who tried to kill Trump acted alone, according to the views of the petaruh.

Trump's increased chances reflect market sentiment that believes in his ability to make a strong comeback. This dramatic event complicates the election run this year, and the closer the election date, the higher the uncertainty that envelopes the process.