Political Indicators Express PDIP's Voice Factors Down Even Though They Are Champions In Quick Count
JAKARTA - The Indonesian Political Indicators survey institute recorded PDIP's victory in the vote acquisition for the quick count of the 2024 Legislative Election (Pileg). However, the vote acquisition of the bull party that carried Ganjar Pranowo as a presidential candidate experienced a setback.
Executive Director of Indonesian Political Indicators Burhanuddin Muhtadi said several factors that caused the PDIP's vote to erode. One of them is the departure of the pro-Jokowi elite.
"From the quick count data, PDIP's votes fell by around 3 to 3.5 percent compared to the 2019 election. Even though PDIP was superior, the decline in PDIP votes was felt, especially in several ballot bags such as West Java, NTT, North Sumatra, North Sulawesi and others," said Burhanuddin to reporters, Monday, February 19.
According to Burhanuddin, the decline in PDIP votes was influenced by the factor of the exit of Jokowi's supporting figures such as Budiman Sudjatmiko and Maruarar Sirait. Plus the two of them shifted their support to other candidate pairs so that Ganjar Pranowo's voice was also eroded.
"Maruhar is not only a strong figure in PDIP who has a mass base in several pockets of votes, but also has a strong network, especially in Parkindo. His father is also Pak Sabam Sirait dedengkot in Parkindo during the party fusion era. Therefore, PDIP also suffered a significant defeat on the Parkindo base such as Bali, NTT, North Sumatra, North Sulawesi and several other areas," explained Burhanuddin.
In addition, continued Burhanuddin, Ganjar's voice fell due to the failure of Jokowi's successor branding. Even Ganjar blunder for criticizing the number one person in Indonesia.
"When Jokowi gave an endorsement either directly or indirectly to other candidates, Ganjar did not have the legitimacy to become Jokowi's branding. It made Ganjar's voice drop everywhere," he said.
"In addition, the volunteer movement, including Bang Ara's friend, which undermined the PDIP base," concluded Burhanuddin.
Previously, the Indonesian Political Indicators survey institute recorded a quick count result for the 2024 Legislative Election (Pileg). In a study released on Sunday, February 18, PDI Perjuangan won 16.68 percent.
The second position is occupied by the Golkar Party with a vote of 15.21 percent and the third position is filled by the Gerindra Party with a vote of 13.44 percent.
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The fourth position is occupied by the National Awakening Party (PKB) with a vote of 10.65 percent and in fifth position is the Nasdem Party with a vote of 9.41 percent.
As for the sixth to eighth positions, Political Indicators say the possibility is the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) with a vote of 8.26 percent, the Democratic Party with 7.58 percent of the vote, and the National Mandate Party (PAN) with 6.88 percent of the vote.
The data comes from 2,999 polling stations (TPS) that have been collected or equivalent to 99.97 percent, with 520,357 valid vote samples collected.
In the quick count results, the Political Indicator set a margin of error of 0.54 percent with an participation rate of 78.27 percent.