LSI Denny JA: Prabowo-Gibran's Electability Wins From AMIN And Ganjar-Mahfud
JAKARTA - The survey results from the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) Denny JA show that Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's electability is superior by 42.9 percent, followed by Ganjar Prabowo-Mahfud MD in second place, then the Anies-Muhaimin pair.
"The electability of the presidential candidate pairs from three candidate pairs in first place, Prabowo-Gibran 42.9 percent, then Ganjar-Mahfud 24.9 percent, and Anies-Muhaimin 24 percent," explained LSI researcher Denny JA, Ardian Sopa in a statement reported by ANTARA, Monday, December 11.
In the results of the same survey, Prabowo-Gibran also has a higher trend of increasing votes than other couples.
In September 2023, Prabowo-Gibran's electability was at 39.3 percent. This achievement had decreased in October to 36.8 percent, but again increased in November to 40.3 percent.
"In early November and late November the trend was positive to 40.3 percent and now it has risen again to 42.9 percent," he explained.
In fact, a pair of Ganjar-Mahfud experienced different conditions, which experienced a decrease in electability trends.
This is because the electability trend of Ganjar-Mahfud, which was at 36.9 percent in September, fell to 24.9 percent at the end of November.
"September 36.9 percent, then October 35.3 percent, but in early November there was a fairly large decline to 28.6 percent. Then, in late November 24.9 percent. So this figure is for Mr. Ganjar the trend is negative," he said.
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Meanwhile, the AMIN pair experienced an increase in electability from 15 percent in September to 17.2 percent in October.
The trend of increase, he said, continued in early November to 20.3 percent and at the end of November to 24 percent.
"So judging from the data, Prabowo-Gibran and Anies-Muhaimin continued to rise and Ganjar-Mahfud continued to decline," he concluded.
The LSI Denny JA survey was conducted from November 20 to December 3, 2023. The sampling used the Multistage Random Sampling method. Respondents were 1,200 respondents.
Interviews were conducted face-to-face with respondents using questionnaires. The margin of error is approximately 2.9 percent.
The results of the Kompas Research and Development survey also stated the same thing. Prabowo-Gibran excels from two other couples. Prabowo-Gibran's electability reached 39.3 percent.