Poltracking Survey: Erick Thohir's Electability Strengthens Since 2023

JAKARTA - The results of the Indonesian Poltracking Survey show that Erick Thohir's electability, as one of the candidates for vice president (cawapres), has consistently excelled since entering the 2023 political year.

Director of Research for Poltracking Indonesia Arya Budi, in publication of the survey results "Electoral Political Power Towards Registration for Presidential and Vice Presidential Candidates 2024" in Jakarta, Saturday, said that in a simulation of 10 names for vice presidential candidates, Erick Thohir led with 19 percent, Sandiaga Uno 15.7 percent, Ridwan Kamil 12.4 percent, and Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY) 10.2 percent.

"Erick Thohir tends to rise since the inclusion of the political year in 2023. This is crucial because Erick's name is high," Arya said as quoted by Antara.

He explained that the electability of the prospective vice presidential candidate is important because there are prospective presidential candidates (candidates) who have not yet determined their prospective assistant candidates, namely Ganjar Pranowo and Prabowo Subianto.

"To find out, Poltracking Indonesia conducted a survey on September 3-9, 2023. This period is important because the candidates for the NasDem Party and PKS, namely Anies Baswedan, have just carried out a declaration of the determination of the candidate for vice president, namely Muhaimin Iskandar," he explained.

The results of the survey show the electability of prospective vice presidential candidates in a simulation of 11 names placing Erick Thohir as the highest electability figure, namely 18.6 percent, followed by Sandiaga Uno 15.7 percent, AHY 10.2 percent, and Ridwan Kamil 9.1 percent.

"What is interesting in this simulation of 11 names is to enter the name Gibran Rakabuming Raka if the Constitutional Court approves the decision on the age of the vice president; while in the simulation of 10 names, we lost Gibran," added Arya.

Meanwhile, the Executive Director of Poltracking Indonesia Hanta Yudha explained that the difference in electability between Ganjar Pranowo and Prabowo Subianto, after being paired with each partner, was thin between 2-3 percent.

"Even with the entry of the vice presidential candidate, the ups and downs are also 2-3 percent. This makes the vice presidential candidate very important, the Prabowo and Ganjar camps are still peering at each other's competing strategies," said Hanta.

The Poltracking Indonesia survey was conducted in the period 3-9 September 2023 by taking the population of Indonesian citizens (WNI) voters by 1,220 respondents, using the multistage random sampling method and 2.9 percent margin of error.