Polmatrix Survey: Democratic Electability Melejit After Anies Becomes A Nasdem Presidential Candidate, How Come?
JAKARTA - The results of the Polmatrix survey show that the electability of the Democratic Party experienced a significant spike after the declaration of Anies Baswedan's candidacy by the NasDem Party, namely from 8.5 percent in June, to 11.3 percent. Dendik said the Democratic electability skyrocketed to 11.3 percent, the NasDem electability continued to decline, on the contrary Democrats actually skyrocketed to second place, said the Executive Director of the Indonesian Polmatrix, Dendik Rulianto, in the results of a survey received in Jakarta, Saturday, October 29. Dendik said Democratic electability skyrocketed to 11.3 percent, and succeeded in shifting the position of the Gerindra Party. won the second rank, Democrats have the opportunity to repeat the glory of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY)'s time. In an effort to bring up coalitions and carry presidential-cawapres pairs, political parties hope to gain a retail effect. The hope is that presidential or vice-supported candidates can increase the vote acquisition of parties in the legislative elections. Proposal of who will accompany Anies makes PKS and Democrats still not agree to join, said Dendik. From a number of proposed names of PKS cadres, former West Java Governor Ahmad Heryawan, it is getting stronger. Meanwhile Democrats insist on submitting Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY), while NasDem dwarfs the names such as Andika Perkasa and Khofifah Indar Parawansa. Anies election, especially from among Muslims, is still a waitandsee, whether the coalition initiated by NasDem will form in order to carry Anies in the presidential election, Dendik said. If the coalition fails to form, it is predicted that Anies will not get tickets to compete.
If the Anies-AHY duo is achieved, it is very likely that the Democrats will increase their electability", said Dendik.Meanwhile, PDIP is still superior with electability reaching 18.5 percent, while Gerindra is in third place at 10.8 percent. Next there is Golkar (8.0 percent), thinly adrift with PKB (7.7 percent). Then, there are PSI (5.5 percent) and PKS (4.7 percent), which are included in parties with electability above the 4 percent threshold. Apart from NasDem, several Senayan parties are feared to fail to hold back, namely PAN (2.5 percent) and PPP (2.0 percent). Furthermore, there are new parties, Gelora (1.3 percent), Perindo (1.1 percent), and the Ummat Party (1.0 percent). Then there are Hanura (0.5 percent), PBBB (0.4 percent), and other choices of 1.4 percent, and not know/don't answer 20.2 percent. The Indonesian Polmatrix survey was conducted on October 17-22 2022 to 2,000 respondents representing 34 provinces. The survey method is multistage random sampling (random graded) with a margin of error survey of approximately 2.2 percent and at a 95 percent confidence level.