IPO Survey: The Anies-Ganjar Pair Turned Out To Be Many Publiclyelected, Which Disappointed Ganjar-Khofifah Can Defend Prabowo-Cak Imin

JAKARTA - The pair Anies Baswedan-Ganjar Pranowo became the pair of presidential and vice presidential candidates who were most elected by the public. This pair was able to beat the Prabowo Subianto-Erick Thohir duo who was also superior in the simulation of the results of the Indonesia Political Opinion (IPO) survey. The IPO national survey agency made 8 simulations of presidential-cawapres pairs if the 2024 presidential election was held today. Each simulation was attended by 3 candidate pairs. The first simulation was attended by the pair Anies Baswedan - Sandiaga Uno, Airlangga Hartarto - Ganjar Pranowo, and Puan Maharani - Erick Thohir. As a result, Anies - Sandi was superior with a gain of 32.4 percent. Meanwhile, the pair Airlangga - Ganjar 24.9 percent, and Puan - Erick 13.6 percent. wing voters 29.1 percent. In the second simulation, the Prabowo - Erick pair won the presidential election with a gain of 34.7 percent. Against Anies - AHY who got 27.5 percent and Airlangga - Ridwan Kamil with 17.5 percent. wing voters are only 20.3 percent. In the third simulation, Anies - Erick led with 34.2 percent, over Prabowo - Muhaimin Iskandar 29.8 percent and Puan - Airlangga 11.2 percent. wing voters 24.8 percent. In the fourth simulation, the Anies - Ganjar pair was the most chosen by the community with 41.5 percent. Competing closely with the Prabowo - Erick duo which was also widely chosen with 37.5 percent of the vote. Meanwhile, the pair Puan - Muhaimin (Cak Imin) only got 16.1 percent. wing voters are at least only 4.9 percent. The fifth simulation, Prabowo - Cak Imin has the potential to win by 30.8 percent. Winning slightly against Anies - Andika Perkasa who received 28.9 percent of the votes. Much behind the Airlangga - Erick pair with 14.3 percent. The wing of the voter is around 26.0 percent. The sixth simulation, the Anies - Andika pair will win 29.4 percent if they fight Ganjar - Airlangga 22.6 percent, and Prabowo - Salim Segaf Al Jufri 19.5 percent. The wing of the voter reached 28.5 percent. In the seventh simulation, the Ganjar - Khofifah pair were shocked by 31.8 percent. Able to win despite challenging the Prabowo - Cak Imin pair 24.7 percent and Anies - AHY 16.2 percent. yang volaters melebihi 27,3 persen.

The last simulation, Prabowo - Airlangga won with 29.7 percent. If the opponent in the presidential election is only Anies - Andika 27.6 percent and Cak Imin - Puan 13.2 percent.wing voters are quite high with 29.5 percent. The IPO survey was conducted in the period 19-24 October 2022 involving 1,200 respondents who were spread nationally. The IPO used random sheet aids after determining a number of villages to be sampled. The survey method has a margin of error of 2.90 percent with a data accuracy rate of 95 percent. The sample uses multistage random sampling techniques.