Poltracking Survey: Electability Of Machfud Arifin-Mujiaman 51.7 Percent, Eri Cahyadi-Armuji 34.1 Percent
SURABAYA - The electability level of the candidate pair for mayor and deputy mayor of Surabaya Machfud Arifin-Mujiaman is 51.7 percent. Meanwhile, the candidate pair Eri Cahyadi-Armuji was 34.1 percent.
These results are reflected in the survey for Poltracking Indonesia. Surabaya Pilkada. Meanwhile there are 5 percent of respondents who keep their choices secret and 9.2 percent of respondents who have not made their choice.
Poltracking Indonesia researcher Masduri said the survey results also showed Machfud Arifin's electability was 51.9 percent, superior to Eri Cahyadi's 34.3 percent. Meanwhile, the vice mayor candidate for Surabaya Mujiaman has 47.5 percent electability, superior to Armuji with 30.7 percent electability.
Meanwhile, based on gender / gender groups, the Machfud-Mujiaman candidate pair had a significant lead in male voters at 49.1 percent, and female voters at 48.2 percent. Furthermore, for the voter education level category, Machfud-Mujiaman excels at all levels of voter education, from not graduating from elementary school to 40 percent of the voters with S1 graduates and Eri-Armudji 52.3 percent.
"It turns out that the second candidate pair (Machfud-Mujiaman) is also favored by millennial voters aged 22-30 years by 52.3 percent, then 31-40 years old is also 53.0 percent ahead. Meanwhile, Generation Z voters (22 years) tend to balance between the two partners, "said Masduri.
The Poltracking survey in the Surabaya Pilkada was conducted from 19-23 October using the stratified multistage random sampling method. The number of samples in this survey was 1,200 respondents covering 31 sub-districts throughout Surabaya. The margin of error is around 2.8 percent at the 95 percent confidence level.