SMRC Survey: Prabowo Can Win If The 2024 Presidential Election Is Followed By A Presidential Candidate From The Head Of Political Parties

JAKARTA - The survey results from the Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) survey indicate that the General Chair of the Gerindra Party, Prabowo Subianto, won a landslide victory in the 2024 presidential election contest when he faced a presidential candidate from another political party leader.

"In the general election, only political parties can nominate. If all presidential candidates come from party officials, then Prabowo Subianto is far ahead of other party officials," said SMRC Executive Director, Sirojudin Abbas, in a forum release entitled "Party Prospects". Politics and Presidential Candidates: National Voters' Political Behavior Trends online, Tuesday, 28 December.

Abbas explained that in the closed-choice simulation of 11 names of party leaders or figures, Prabowo received the highest support of 38.2 percent.

In second place was the chairman of the Democratic Party, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono, with 10 percent of the vote. Then occupied by the chairman of the PDIP Megawati Soekarno-Putri with 7.5 percent of the vote. While other names are below 6 percent. There are still 26.8 percent who do not know or do not answer.

"If the presidential election is held now and the leaders or leaders of political parties are advancing, then the one who has the most chance of winning the battle is Prabowo Subianto," explained Abbas.

The names of political party officials who are below 6 percent are Puan Maharani 5.7 percent, Muhaimin Iskandar 4.6 percent, Surya Paloh 2.5 percent, Airlangga Hartarto 1.7 percent, Salim Segaf Al Jufri 1.7 percent, Zulkifli Hasan 0.6 percent, Ahmad Syaikhu 0.6 percent, Ahmad Syaikhu 0.5 percent, Suharso Monoarfa 0.3 percent.

This SMRC survey was conducted on 8-16 December 2021 through face-to-face or face-to-face interviews. The number of initial samples is 2420 randomly selected (multistage random sampling) from the entire Indonesian population who are at least 17 years old or married.

With a total of 2,062 or 85 percent of respondents who can be interviewed validly. The margin of error for the survey with this sample size is estimated at ± 2.2 percent at the 95 percent confidence level.