Strictly Competing In The SMRC Survey, The Electability Of Ganjar And Prabowo Is Slightly Different
JAKARTA - General Chairperson of Gerindra Prabowo Subianto and Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo are competing for the top position in the people's choice as a presidential candidate if the election is held at this time.
SMRC Executive Director, Sirojudin Abbas, revealed that in a semi-open question format with a list of 43 names, Prabowo Subianto received 19.7 percent support, while Ganjar Pranowo was supported by 19.2 percent voters.
"Statistically, the difference in the support of these two figures is not significant," Abbas said in an online release entitled 'Prospects of Political Parties and Presidential Candidates: Trends in Political Behavior of National Voters', Tuesday, December 28.
Meanwhile, Anies Baswedan is below the two significantly, at 13.4 percent. Meanwhile, in the simulation of 15 names, continued Abbas, there were no significant changes.
"In this simulation, Prabowo received 22.7 percent support, not significantly different from the vote for Ganjar Pranowo, 22.5 percent," explained Abbas.
Meanwhile, Anies remains significantly below these two figures with 15.2 percent of the vote.
The results of the closed election survey of 15 presidential candidates, namely Prabowo led with 22.7 percent, Ganjar 22.5 percent, and Anies 15.2 percent.
Followed by Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 5.0 percent, Ridwan Kamil 4.3 percent, Sandiaga Uno 4.2 percent, Tri Rismaharini 2.7 percent, Puan Maharani 2.3 percent, Mahfud MD 1.3 percent, Gatot Nurmantyo 1.2 percent , Sri Mulyani 1.1 percent, Andika Perkasa 1.2 percent.
Then Airlangga Hartarto 0.6 percent, Budi Gunawan 0.6 percent, Erick Tohir 0.4 percent, and did not know or did not answer 14.7 percent.
This SMRC survey was conducted on 8-16 December 2021 through face-to-face or face-to-face interviews. The number of initial samples is 2420 randomly selected (multistage random sampling) from the entire Indonesian population who are at least 17 years old or married.
With a total of 2,062 or 85 percent of respondents who can be interviewed validly. The margin of error for the survey with this sample size is estimated at ± 2.2 percent at the 95 percent confidence level.