August Survey, Competition Prabowo And Ganjar Competitive, Anies Far Behind

Presidential Candidates in the 2024 Presidential Election (ANTARA)

JAKARTA - The latest Polling Institute survey shows the electability of Gerindra Party Chair Prabowo Subianto and PDIP President Ganjar Pranowo competitive on the 2024 presidential election exchange. Meanwhile, Nasdem-PKB presidential reading, Anies Baswedan was far behind.

Prabowo outperforms the contestation map, which Ganjar is following, while Anies is at the bottom with a far adrift electability number with Prabowo and Ganjar.

The Polling Institute survey was conducted in the range 21-25 August 2023 against 1,201 respondents. The survey was conducted with a telephone line with a telephone number randomly or random digit dialing (RDD). The survey was conducted with a confidence level of 95 percent and a margin of error of approximately 2.9 percent.

Polling Institute researcher Kennedy Muslim said support for Prabowo was getting stronger, outperforming other names such as Ganjar Pranowo and Anies Baswedan.

"In the simulation of three or two names, Prabowo seems to have more public support than Ganjar or Anies," said Kennedy when presenting the results of a survey entitled "The Presidential-Cawapres Competition Map and Latest Issues" virtually, Sunday 10 September.

In the simulation of three names, Kennedy explained, Prabowo's electability was at 36.3 percent, followed by Ganjar Pranowo in second place with an electability of 32.4 percent. Meanwhile, Anies is in the caretaker position with 20 percent support.

The number of supports for Prabowo has skyrocketed in the simulation of two names. Prabowo's electability became 56 percent in the simulation of two names, far ahead of Anies, who only 26 percent.

The same thing also applies in the simulation of two names between Prabowo and Ganjar. "In this simulation, support for Prabowo is 47.9 percent. While Ganjar only gets 38.3 percent," said Kennedy.

Kennedy records, Prabowo's advantage also occurred in the demographic group, compared to Ganjar and Anies. This is because Prabowo excels in Sumatra, Banten, West Java, East Java, Sulawesi, Bali-Nusa Tenggara, and Maluku-Papua. Ganjar excels in Central Java and Kalimantan, while Anies excels in DKI Jakarta.

On the other hand, Indonesian political researcher Havard University, Seth Soderborg revealed, the issuance of the National Awakening Party (PKB) from the Advanced Indonesia Coalition will not erode significant voter support in East Java (East Java) to Prabowo. PKB had supported Prabowo before finally joining the Nasdem Party coalition.

The reason, said Seth, was that PKB in the past year before changing support had socialized Prabowo as a presidential candidate.

"The Kyai-based PKB and kiai have been socializing for a full year to support Prabowo. There will be some who still live with Prabowo (after the PKB leaves)," he explained.

Another consideration is that PKB and Nahdlatul Ulama (NU) have different attitudes about the 2024 presidential election. Thus, PKB machines cannot be fully used to support Anies alone.

"If it's full, you can't, but that's because the party engine cannot be fully used by only one presidential candidate because in the PKB and in the NU institution there are differences of opinion," concluded Seth.